Some clarity on a largely murky field of contenders will finally be provided tomorrow morning when the Oscar nominations are announced. Here are the films and individuals that I believe have the best odds of competing for Oscar glory this year.
Best Picture:
Belfast
CODA
Don't Look Up
Dune
House of Gucci
King Richard
Licorice Pizza
The Power of the Dog
tick, tick...Boom!
West Side Story
Locks: Belfast, Dune, Licorice Pizza, The Power of the Dog, West Side Story
Toss-Ups: CODA, Don't Look Up, House of Gucci, King Richard, tick, tick..Boom!
Other Possibilities: Being the Ricardos, Drive My Car, The Lost Daughter, Nightmare Alley, The Tragedy of Macbeth, The Worst Person in the World
Best Director:
Paul Thomas Anderson (Licorice Pizza)
Kenneth Branaugh (Belfast)
Jane Campion (The Power of the Dog)
Ryusuke Hamaguchi (Drive My Car)
Steven Spielberg (West Side Story)
Locks: Kenneth Branaugh, Jane Campion
Toss-Ups: Paul Thomas Anderson, Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Steven Spielberg
Other Possibilities: Joel Coen (The Tragedy of Macbeth) Sian Heder (CODA), Adam McKay (Don't Look Up), Guillermo del Toro (Nightmare Alley), Joachim Trier (The Worst Person in the World), Denis Villeneuve (Dune)
Best Actor:
Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of the Dog)
Leonardo DiCaprio (Don't Look Up)
Andrew Garfield (tick, tick... Boom!)
Will Smith (King Richard)
Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of Macbeth)
Locks: Benedict Cumberbatch, Will Smith
Toss-Ups: Leonardo DiCaprio, Andrew Garfield, Denzel Washington
Other Possibilities: Mahershala Ali (Swan Song), Javier Bardem (Being the Ricardos), Nicolas Cage (Pig), Bradley Cooper (Nightmare Alley), Peter Dinklage (Cyrano), Jude Hill (Belfast), Cooper Hofmann (Licorice Pizza), Hidetoshi Nishijima (Drive My Car)
Best Actress:
Jessica Chastain (The Eyes of Tammy Faye)
Lady Gaga (House of Gucci)
Alana Haim (Licorice Pizza)
Nicole Kidman (Being the Ricardos)
Kristen Stewart (Spencer)
Locks: Lady Gaga, Nicole Kidman
Toss-Ups: Jessica Chastain, Alana Haim, Kristen Stewart
Other Possibilities: Olivia Colman (The Lost Daughter), Penelope Cruz (Parallel Mothers), Jennifer Hudson (Respect), Emilia Jones (CODA), Renate Reinsve (The Worst Person in the World), Tessa Thompson (Passing), Rachel Zegler (West Side Story)
Best Supporting Actor:
Mike Faist (West Side Story)
Ciaran Hinds (Belfast)
Troy Kotsur (CODA)
Jared Leto (House of Gucci)
Kodi Smit-McPhee (The Power of the Dog)
Locks: Ciaran Hinds, Troy Kotsur, Kodi Smit-McPhee
Toss-Ups: Mike Faist, Jared Leto
Other Possibilities: Ben Affleck (The Tender Bar), Bradley Cooper (Licorice Pizza), Jamie Dornan (Belfast), Woody Norman (C'mon C'mon), Jesse Plemons (The Power of the Dog), J.K. Simmons (Being the Ricardos)
Best Supporting Actress:
Caitriona Baife (Belfast)
Ariana DeBose (West Side Story)
Kristen Dunst (The Power of the Dog)
Anjanue Ellis (King Richard)
Marlee Matlin (CODA)
Locks: Caitriona Baife, Ariana DeBose, Kristen Dunst
Toss-Ups: Anjanue Ellis, Marlee Matlin
Other Possibilities: Cate Blanchett (Nightmare Alley), Jessie Buckley (The Lost Daughter), Judi Dench (Belfast), Ann Dowd (Mass), Dakota Johnson (The Lost Daughter), Rita Moreno (West Side Story), Ruth Negga (Passing)
Best Original Screenplay:
Being the Ricardos
Belfast
Don't Look Up
Licorice Pizza
King Richard
Best Adapted Screenplay:
CODA
Drive My Car
The Lost Daughter
The Power of the Dog
West Side Story
Best Animated Feature:
Encanto
Flee
Luca
The Mitchells vs. the Machines
Raya and the Last Dragon
Best International Film:
Drive My Car
The Hand of God
A Hero
Flee
The Worst Person in the World
Best Documentary Feature:
Flee
Procession
The Rescue
Summer of Soul
The Velvet Underground
Best Cinematography:
Belfast
Dune
The Power of the Dog
The Tragedy of Macbeth
West Side Story
Best Film Editing:
Belfast
Dune
Licorice Pizza
The Power of the Dog
West Side Story
Best Score:
Don't Look Up
Dune
Encanto
The French Dispatch
The Power of the Dog
Best Original Song:
"Be Alive" (King Richard)
"Dos Orguritas" (Encanto)
"Down to Joy" (Belfast)
"Just Look Up" (Don't Look Up)
"No Time to Die" (No Time to Die)
Best Costume Design:
Cruella
Dune
House of Gucci
Nightmare Alley
West Side Story
Best Production Design:
Dune
The French Dispatch
Nightmare Alley
The Tragedy of Macbeth
West Side Story
Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
Cruella
The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Dune
House of Gucci
West Side Story
Best Sound:
Dune
No Time to Die
A Quiet Place Part II
tick, tick...Boom!
West Side Story
Best Visual Effects:
Dune
Godzilla vs. Kong
The Matrix Resurrections
Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
Spider-Man: No Way Home
Best Animated Short:
Only a Child
Robin Robin
Step Into the River
Us Again
The Windshield Wiper
Best Documentary Short:
Coded: The Hidden Love of J.C. Leyendecker
The Queen of Basketball
Three Songs for Benazir
Terror Contagion
When We Were Bullies
Best Live Action Short:
Censor of Dreams
Frimas
The Long Goodbye
Tala'vision
When the Sun Sets
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