Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Oscar Nomination Predictions

Tomorrow in the wee hours of the morning in Los Angeles, this year's Oscar nominations will be revealed. Here are the films and individuals I expect to be in the running for gold statues this year. 

Best Picture:

Bugonia 

Frankenstein

Hamnet

It Was Just an Accident 

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

The Secret Agent

Sentimental Value

Sinners

Train Dreams

Locks: Frankenstein, Hamnet, Marty Supreme, One Battle After Another, Sentimental Value, Sinners

Toss-Ups: Bugonia, It Was Just an Accident, The Secret Agent, Train Dreams

Other Possible Contenders: Avatar: Fire and Ash, F1, No Other Choice, Sirat, Weapons

Best Director

Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another

Ryan Coogler, Sinners

Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme

Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value

Chloe Zhao, Hamnet

Locks: Paul Thomas Anderson, Ryan Coogler, Chloe Zhao

Toss-Ups: Josh Safdie, Joachim Trier

Other Possible Contenders: Clint Bentley (Train Dreams), Guillermo del Toro (Frankenstein), Kieber Mendoca Filho (The Secret Agent), Yorgos Lanthimos (Bugonia), Jafar Panahi (It Was Just an Accident)

Best Actor:

Timothee Chalamet, Marty Supreme

Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another

Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon

Michael B. Jordan, Sinners

Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent

Locks: Timothee Chalamet, Leonardo DiCaprio, Ethan Hawke, Michael B. Jordan, Wagner Moura

Toss-Ups: None

Other Possible Contenders: George Clooney (Jay Kelly), Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams), Lee Byung-hun (No Other Choice), Dwayne Johnson (The Smashing Machine), Jesse Plemons (Bugonia)

Best Actress:

Jessie Buckley, Hamnet

Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs, I'd Kick You

Chase Infiniti, One Battle After Another

Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value

Emma Stone, Bugonia

Locks: Jessie Buckley, Rose Byrne

Toss-Ups: Chase Infiniti, Renate Reinsve, Emma Stone

Other Possible Contenders: Cynthia Erivo (Wicked: For Good), Kate Hudson (Song Sung Blue), Jennifer Lawrence (Die My Love), Amanda Seyfried (The Testament of Ann Lee), Eva Victor (Sorry, Baby)

Best Supporting Actor:

Benicio del Toro, One Battle After Another

Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein

Paul Mescal, Hamnet

Sean Penn, One Battle After Another

Stellan Skarsgard, Sentimental Value

Locks: Benicio del Toro, Jacob Elordi, Paul Mescal, Sean Penn, Stellan Skarsgard

Toss-Ups: None

Other Possible Contenders: Miles Caton (Sinners), Delroy Lindo (Sinners), William H. Macy (Train Dreams), Adam Sandler (Jay Kelly), Andrew Scott (Blue Moon)

Best Supporting Actress:

Ariana Grande, Wicked: For Good

Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Sentimental Value

Amy Madigan, Weapons

Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners

Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another

Locks: Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Amy Madigan, Teyana Taylor

Toss-Ups: Ariana Grande, Wunmi Mosaku

Other Possible Contenders: Odessa A'zion (Marty Supreme), Emily Blunt (The Smashing Machine) Elle Fanning (Sentimental Value), Regina Hall (One Battle After Another), Gwyneth Paltrow (Marty Supreme)

Best Adapted Screenplay:

Bugonia

Hamnet

No Other Choice

One Battle After Another

Train Dreams

Locks: Hamnet, One Battle After Another

Toss-Ups: Bugonia, No Other Choice, Train Dreams

Other Possible Contenders: Frankenstein, Hedda, The Long Walk, Nuremberg, Wake Up Dead Man

Best Original Screenplay:

It Was Just an Accident

Marty Supreme

Sentimental Value

Sinners

Sorry, Baby

Locks: It Was Just an Accident, Sentimental Value, Sinners

Toss-Ups: Marty Supreme, Sorry, Baby

Other Possible Contenders: Blue Moon, Is This Thing On?, Jay Kelly, The Secret Agent, Weapons

Best Animated Feature:

Arco

Kpop Demon Hunters

Little Amelie or the Character of Rain

Scarlet

Zootopia 2

Locks: Arco, Kpop Demon Hunters, Zootopia 2

Toss-Ups: Little Amelie or the Character of Rain, Scarlet

Other Possible Contenders: The Bad Guys 2, In Your Dreams, Elio 

Best Documentary Feature:

2000 Meters to Andriivika

The Alabama Solution

Cover-Up

My Undesirable Friends

The Perfect Neighbor

Locks: 2000 Meters to Andriivika, Cover-Up

Toss-Ups: The Alabama Solution, My Undesirable Friends, The Perfect Neighbor

Other Possible Contenders: Apocalypse in the Tropics, Come See Me in the Good Light, Holding Liat, Mr. Nobody Against Putin, Seeds 

Best International Film:

It Was Just an Accident

No Other Choice

Sentimental Value

The Secret Agent 

Sirat

Locks: It Was Just an Accident, Sentimental Value, The Secret Agent

Toss-Up: No Other Choice, Sirat

Other Potential Contenders: KokuhoLeft-Handed Girl, The President's Cake, Sound of Falling, The Voice of Hind Rajab

Best Casting:

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

Sentimental Value

Sinners

Best Cinematography: 

Frankenstein

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Train Dreams

Best Film Editing:

F1

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Best Costume Design:

Frankenstein

Hamnet

Hedda

Sinners

Wicked: For Good

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:

Frankenstein

One Battle After Another

The Smashing Machine

Sinners

Wicked: For Good

Best Production Design:

Frankenstein

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

Sinners

Wicked: For Good

Best Score:

Frankenstein

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Best Original Song:

"Dear Me" (Diane Warren: Relentless)

"The Girl in the Bubble" (Wicked: For Good)

"Golden" (Kpop Demon Hunters)

"I Lied to You" (Sinners)

"Train Dreams" (Train Dreams)

Best Sound:

Avatar: Fire and Ash

F1

One Battle After Another

Sinners

Sirat

Best Visual Effects:

Avatar: Fire and Ash

F1

Frankenstein

Sinners

Superman

Best Animated Short:

Autokar

Eiru

Playing God

Retirement Plan

Snow Bear

Best Documentary Short:

All the Empty Rooms

Armed With Only a Camera

The Devil is Busy

Perfectly a Strangeness 

We Were the Scenery 

Best Live Action Short:

The Boy with White Skin

Jane Austen's Period Drama

The Singers

Two People Exchanging Saliva 

No comments:

Post a Comment