The dust has settled on fall festival season, which means its time to embark on another great cinematic tradition: Largely baseless, way too early Oscar speculation! Trying to cut through all of the enthusiastic critical praise and dozens of "(insert name or film) for Best (insert name or film)!!! tweets sent out by pundits that are all horned up to be seeing movies early is a difficult exercise, but it's a fun one for me to engage in-namely since it reminds me of sitting down in July and August to make similarly silly early picks for the upcoming NFL season.
As always, it needs to be noted that there are still several prospective contenders including The Color Purple, Napoleon, The Iron Claw, Freud's Last Session, Leave the World Behind and The Boys in the Boat that have yet to be publicly screened that could lay waste to this entire premature forecast depending on how they're received. Without further ado, here are my current picks for every Oscars category excluding Best Original Song, Best Animated Short, Best Documentary Short and Best Live Action Short.
*Indicates my current predicted winner
Best Picture:
American Fiction
Barbie
The Color Purple
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things*
The Zone of Interest
Best Director:
Greta Gerwig, Barbie
Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things*
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Alexander Payne, The Holdovers
Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Actor:
Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon
Colman Domingo, Rustin
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer*
Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction
Best Actress:
Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Hueller, Anatomy of a Fall
Carey Mulligan, Maestro
Cailee Spaeny, Priscilla
Emma Stone, Poor Things*
Best Supporting Actor:
Willem Dafoe, Poor Things
Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon*
Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling, Barbie
Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things
Best Supporting Actress:
Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
Penelope Cruz, Ferrari
America Ferrera, Barbie
Julianne Moore, May December
Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers*
Best Original Screenplay:
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Maestro
Past Lives*
Best Adapted Screenplay:
American Fiction
Killers of the Flower Moon*
Poor Things
Oppenheimer
The Zone of Interest
Best Animated Feature:
The Boy and the Heron
Elemental
Nimona
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse*
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem
Best Documentary Feature:
American Symphony
Anslem*
The Eternal Memory
Orlando, My Political Biography
The Pigeon Tunnel
Best International Feature:
Perfect Days
Society of the Snow
The Taste of Things
The Teacher's Lounge
The Zone of Interest*
Best Cinematography:
Maestro
Poor Things
Oppenheimer*
Saltburn
The Zone of Interest
Best Costume Design:
Barbie
The Color Purple
Killers of the Flower Moon
Napoleon
Poor Things*
Best Film Editing:
Barbie
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer*
Poor Things
Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
Barbie
The Color Purple
Ferrari
Maestro*
Poor Things
Best Production Design:
Barbie*
The Color Purple
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
Best Original Score:
American Fiction
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer*
Poor Things
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Best Sound:
Ferrari
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer*
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Best Visual Effects:
The Creator*
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol.3
The Little Mermaid
Oppenheimer
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
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