Showing posts with label NFL recap AFC West. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL recap AFC West. Show all posts

Sunday, February 21, 2016

2015 NFL Recap: AFC West

 My Preseason Predictons:
1.Denver Broncos (10-6)
2.San Diego Chargers (8-8)
3.Kansas City Chiefs (7-9)
4.Oakland Raiders (6-10) 
Actual Standings
1.Denver Broncos (12-4)
2.Kansas City Chiefs (11-5)
3.Oakland Raiders (7-9)
4.San Diego Chargers (4-12)

Denver Broncos:
Team MVP's: OLB Von Miller, ILB Brandon Marshall, CB Chris Harris Jr., DE/DT Derek Wolfe, S Darian Stewart

-After pondering over it since the end of the Super Bowl, I can now say with absolute confidence that the 2015 Broncos are the most dominant defense I've seen in my lifetime. If you sit back and break down this defense on film or paper, you won't be able to find a single hole. Their pass-rush was suffocating, their linebackers were fast and versatile and their secondary was full of guys that can cover and tackle with equal proficiency. It's honestly kind of astonishing how much talent general manager John Elway has brought in over the years and I imagine they'll be using a majority of their available cap space to bring back as many of the free agents as they possibly can (defensive end Malik Jackson, inside linebackers Brandon Marshall and Danny Trevathan and Super Bowl MVP Von Miller are all set to hit the open market this offseason).

-The Broncos defense has been great for a few years now, but their sudden ascent to dominance can be directly linked to the presence of first-year defensive coordinator Wade Philips. Philips installed a system that allowed their plethora of gifted pass-rushers more freedom to rush the quarterback and made their secondary damn near impossible to throw on. Phillips' creative and aggressive scheme allowed the Broncos to finish first in the league in sacks (52), forced fumbles (25) and defensive TD's (4). Phillips was the best coordinator in the NFL this season by a wide margin and it'll be very interesting to see if they maintain this insanely high level of play in the future.

-Peyton Manning needs to hang it up. The man that took the field in 2015 was not the five-time MVP, 14-time Pro Bowler we've come to know all too well over his 18-year career, it was a physically-drained old man that couldn't do a vast majority of the things he was able to do in the past. All of the injuries that have plagued him over the years finally caught up with him in 2015 and it caused him to throw with next-to-no-velocity or accuracy. Watching the shriveled-up ghost of Manning play was more than enough to confirm that his days in the NFL were numbered, but perhaps the strongest indicator of his ineffectiveness is the fact that he threw almost twice as many as interceptions (17) than touchdowns (9) in the 10 games he played this season. This was the first time since his rookie year in 1998 that Manning threw more INT's than TD's in a season and it was by far the worst TD: INT ratio (0:5) he's posted in his career to-date. If Manning decides to come back next year after winning his second Super Bowl Ring in a decrepit state this season, he's officially lost his mind.

-The whole "C.J. Anderson is a workhorse stud running back" movement can officially be put to rest. While Anderson had a few impressive performances over the course of the season (his 113-yard, 2 TD performance against the Patriots in Week 13 was the clear highlight), he was a mostly average back that struggled to break through defenses on a consistent basis. To be fair, minor injuries and porous offensive line play put a bit of a damper on his effectiveness, but I still firmly believe that this season proved that Anderson doesn't have what it takes to be an uncontested starting running back in the league.

-The Broncos need to do everything in their power to retain Brock Osweiler. The fourth-year quarterback finally saw the field in 2015 when Manning went down with plantar fasciits in Week 10 against the Chiefs and he looked pretty comfortable leading the offense. His athleticism and arm strength provided their offense with the spark it sorely lacked with a physically-limited Manning running the show and that ability to orchestrate a legitimate vertical attack allowed the Broncos to go 5-2 with him as a starter. It's hard to tell if Osweiler is a surefire franchise quarterback after just seven starts, but his familiarity with the system and the four years he spent under the tutelage of Manning make him the clear choice to be the Broncos next starting quarterback.
 
Kansas City Chiefs:
Team MVP's: S Eric Berry, OLB Justin Houston, ILB Derrick Johnson, WR Jeremy Maclin, TE Travis Kelce

-I don't think there has been a better comeback story in the history of sports than that of Eric Berry. Less than a year after being diagnosed with Hodgkin's lymphoma, Berry returned to the field and put together the best season of his thoroughly impressive career so far. I admire Berry so much for his tremendous courage, dedication and perseverance and he deserves every penny of the huge contract he's going to receive in free agency this offseason.

-It got a decent amount of attention once they clinched a playoff berth, but I think a lot of people are downplaying just how impressive of a mid-season turnaround the Chiefs made in 2015. This was a lifeless squad that looked like they're were on the brink of being one of the worst teams in the league after six games and they somehow managed to right the ship and become the first team in NFL history to make the playoffs after starting the season 1-5. Pulling off a 10-game winning streak full of huge statement wins after starting off the season on such a lackluster note is a huge testament to the resiliency of their players and the strength of head coach Andy Reid and his coaching staff.

-Ever since he took over as the full-time starter in 2010, it seemed like the Chiefs offense would be helpless without Jammal Charles. This year, the Chiefs proved that longstanding theory to be false. After Charles went down for the with a torn ACL in their week 5 contest with the Bears, the tandem of Charcandrick West and Spencer Ware kept the Chiefs entrenched as one of the most potent rushing attacks in the NFL. While neither have of them have the elusiveness or burst that has made Charles one of the best running backs of the past decade, West and Ware came out of nowhere in 2015 to prove they're rock-solid backs who could easily start for just about any team in the league.

-As expected, the addition of wide receiver Jeremy Maclin dramatically improved the Chiefs passing offense. Maclin's numbers may have been down a bit from his career season with the Eagles in 2014, but he was still able to give the Chiefs the legitimate vertical threat they've lacked since Dwayne Bowe's last productive season in 2011 and helped Alex Smith set new career highs for passing yards and yards per attempt (Maclin's 1,088 yards accounted for 31.2% of Smith's passing yards, only Julio Jones and Odell Beckham Jr. accounted for a higher percentage of their starting quarterback's passing yards this season). If the Chiefs can acquire one more valuable asset to throw alongside Maclin and tight end Travis Kelce, their passing game could turn into something really special.

-While there's no denying that he put together a solid season, cornerback Marcus Peters did not deserve Defensive Rookie of the Year. If you simply looked at the flashy stats (INT's and passes defensed), Peters seems like a worthy candidate given his high totals in both of those categories (8 INT's and 26 passes defensed, both league highs). However, Peters also surrendered 8 TD's (second most of any corner in the league) and got burned almost every time he played a top-tier wideout (A.J. Green, DeAndre Hopkins, Emmanuel Sanders) during the season. Peters appears to be on the right track for a successful career, I just feel like some of the hype surrounding him is being inflated due to his gaudy INT numbers.     

Oakland Raiders:
Team MVP's: OLB/DE Khalil Mack, QB Derek Carr, T Donald Penn, G Gabe Jackson, DT Dan Williams

-Second-year quarterback Derek Carr quietly put together one hell of a season in 2015. The young signal-caller made huge strides in every facet of his game and was able to parlay his growth as a passer and leader into a 3,987 yard, 32 TD season. Carr hit a bit of a rough patch in the last five games of the year (2-3 record, 55.8% CMP PCT, 72.2 QBR 7 of his 13 INT for the season), but he was still mightily impressive in 2015 and I firmly believe that the Raiders have found their quarterback of the future.

-The breakout campaigns of Carr and running back Latavius Murray can directly be linked to the Raiders excellent offensive line play. Center Rodney Hudson proved to be well worth his massive free agent deal with his stellar debut season as a Raider, guard Gabe Jackson built on his impressive rookie campaign to become one of the most punishing run-blockers in the league in his sophomore season and after a second straight productive season with the Raiders, grizzled veteran Donald Penn has officially proved his disastrous 2013 season with the Buccaneers was a fluke. This Raiders have the most underrated offensive line of the league and I don't expect them to be slept on for much longer. 

-He may have become the 16th wide receiver since 1970 to put up over 1,000 receiving yards as a rookie, but I still don't know what to think of Amari Cooper. For every highlight reel-worthy play he made, he would ruin a chance at another one with a poorly-ran route or an ugly drop (Cooper was tied for second-most drops in the league with 10). Cooper clearly still has a lot of time to develop and none of the flaws in his game are things that can't be corrected over time, I'm just not sure if he's going to transform into the transcendent receiver he was touted to be prior to the start of this season.

-The jump that outside linebacker/defensive end Khalil Mack made from his rookie year to his second season was simply ridiculous. Mack was unstoppable as both a run-stuffer and pass-rusher in 2015 as he picked up 77 tackles and 15 sacks (second-most in the league) and ended up becoming the first player to ever make the Associated Press All-Pro first team at two different positions. With Mack's emergence as a superstar and a talented, young supporting cast anchored by nose tackle Dan Williams and promising rookie defensive end Mario Edwards Jr., the Raiders front seven could become one of the best in the league within the next couple of years.

-As good as Mack, Williams and the rest of the front seven were, the Raiders horrendous secondary prevented them from being one of the league's best defenses. Third-year cornerback and colossal draft bust D.J. Hayden continues to be a major liability in coverage, slot corner T.J. Carrie showed some serious growing pains in his first season as a starter and strong safety Larry Asante regressed tremendously after a decent season in 2014. With another hole opening up in the secondary with the retirement of Charles Woodson, the Raiders need to make obtaining secondary talent a priority in the draft and free agency this season. 

-I couldn't do a Raiders recap without giving props to the great Charles Woodson, who announced his retirement from the league after 18 seasons at the conclusion of 2015. The 39-year old Woodson continued to deify Father Time in his final season in the league by being an aggressive safety with field-stretching speed and a knack for creating takeaways (his 5 INT's were tied for sixth most in the league). Woodson is the rare all-time great player to go out with a bang instead of a whimper and the consistent high level of play he exhibited throughout his career further solidifies his place as one of the greatest defensive backs to ever play the game.
San Diego Chargers:
Team MVP's: QB Phillip Rivers, CB Jason Verrett, WR Keenan Allen, OLB Melvin Ingram, RB Danny Woodhead 

-You have to feel for Phillip Rivers. Despite playing at a consistently high level and throwing for a career-high 4,792 yards in an offense that was almost completely devoid of playmakers, the Chargers still ended up finishing 4-12 on the year. Rivers' 2015 season is the perfect foil to the widely-accepted notion that good quarterback play is guaranteed to translate into wins in the NFL.

-Aside from the Ravens, no team in the NFL suffered more crucial injuries on offense than the Chargers this season. Star wide receiver Keenan Allen and center Chris Watt both suffered season-ending injuries in Week 8 against the Ravens while their starting left guard Orlando Franklin, wide receiver Stevie Johnson and left tackle King Dunlap all missed between six and 10 games on the season. These injuries led to a severe lack of continuity on an already talent-deprived offensive line group and a complete lack of weapons in the passing game. The sheer number of impact players that went down on a unit that was already relatively strapped for talent ruined any chance of the Chargers offense being effective in 2015.

-Unlike fellow first-round rounder Todd Gurley, rookie running back Melvin Gordon's transition to the NFL was not even close to being seamless. Gordon was indecisive and sluggish as a runner and had a major issue with ball security, fumbling six times in the 14 games he appeared in. Gordon's play was so bad that he ended up losing a significant amount of touches to veteran pass-catching specialist Danny Woodhead, who surprisingly emerged as one of the few reliable contributors on the Chargers 26th-ranked scoring offense this season. While the offensive line woes very well could've very impacted his development, Gordon's weak rookie year should still be a cause for major concern for the Chargers organization.

-With the exception of a All-Pro/Pro Bowl caliber season from second-year stud cornerback Jason Verrett and a breakout campaign from fourth-year outside linebacker Melvin Ingram, the Chargers defense was flat-out awful this season. The defense finished in the bottom half of the league in every major category except pass defense, where the strong performance of Verrett, slot corner Patrick Robinson and the ever-reliable veteran free safety Eric Weddle allowed to them finish in 14th. This unit's overall ineffectiveness can be linked  to a number of different players, but the biggest culprits by far were defensive end Kendall Reyes and cornerback Brandon Flowers. Reyes' below-average pass-rushing and complete inability to stop the run made him one of the weakest starting defensive end's in football this season while Flowers reverted back to his atrocious 2013 form after an excellent 2014 where he was one of the most consistently dominant shutdown corners in the league. This Chargers D may have been less than stellar in 2015, but the organization and its fans can be happy that this is a very young unit (seven of their 11 starters have been in the league for four years or less) full of players that don't appear to have come anywhere close to reaching their respective ceiling's yet. 

Friday, January 23, 2015

2014 NFL Recap: AFC West

My Preseason Predictions:
1.Denver Broncos (13-3)
2.San Diego Chargers (8-8)
3.Kansas City Chiefs (6-10)
4.Oakland Raiders (4-12)

Actual Standings:
1.Denver Broncos (12-4)
2.Kansas City Chiefs (9-7)
3.San Diego Chargers (9-7)
4.Oakland Raiders (3-13)

Denver Broncos: The 2014 Denver Broncos will go down as one of the few elite NFL teams in NFL history that had a complete change in identity almost 3/4 of the way through the season. From September through most of November, the Broncos were riding Peyton Manning and the passing attack that shattered records and led the Broncos to the Super Bowl in 2013. Then out of nowhere in the last five games, Manning's play started to dip considerably and the Broncos became a run-first team behind C.J. Anderson- who started the season behind Montee Ball and Ronnie Hillman on the depth chart. No matter how they were attacking you, the Broncos offense once again put up huge numbers throughout the year. The receiving corps anchored by Demaryius Thomas, Julius Thomas and newcomer Emmanuel Sanders was without question one of the best overall units in the league in 2014. Demaryius recovered beautifully after a rough start to the year and ended up having the best year of his highly impressive young career, Julius was the most monstrous redzone target in the league for the first two months of the season before an ankle injury slowed him down in mid-November, and Sanders managed to fill the void left by Eric Decker and then some as he registered the first 100 reception, 1,000+ yard season of his career. As I alluded to earlier, the late season boost Anderson gave this offense was huge and kept this team on track when their traditional pass-heavy attack began to falter. Anderson emerged from obscurity in Week 9 against the Raiders after injuries sidelined both Ball and Hillman, and immediately emerged as the best back on the roster. Anderson is an absolute bulldozer of a runner who possesses great pass-catching ability for a power back and the strong nose for the endzone for any running back to be truly great. With his consistently strong play over the second half of the season, Anderson seems like the real deal. If he can keep this going into the next season, the Broncos will have finally found the workhorse back they've desperately desired since Clinton Portis got traded after the 2003 season. Of course, the Broncos having a powerhouse offense is not the least bit surprising. What the 2014 Broncos had that that the 2013 Broncos sorely lacked was a great defense. John Elway's aggressive rebuilding approach paid off as defensive end DeMarcus Ware, cornerback Aqib Talib and safety T.J. Ward all made notable contributions in their debut season with the team. While all of the new additions delivered, it was the return of two incumbent players, cornerback Chris Harris Jr. and outside linebacker Von Miller, from injury that really made this unit standout. Harris Jr. was the only starting corner in the NFL to not allow a touchdown all season long and the Broncos just generously rewarded him for his outstanding play by handing him a five-year/$42.5 million contract extension. As for Miller, he was every bit of the dominant pass-rushing, run-stuffing force he was prior to the torn ACL that cut his 2013 season short, finishing the year with 59 tackles and 14 sacks. Having these two healthy made a world of difference for the Broncos defense and their play was a big reason why this defense was near-elite this season. With Manning on a noticeable decline and contemplating retirement, and at least one of the Thomas brothers potentially leaving in free agency, the prospects for the 2015 Broncos are murky to say the least. If you're a Broncos fan, I'd cross your fingers for next year and relish the memories of your recent success in case things go south next year.           

Kansas City Chiefs: They may not have returned to the playoffs, but the 2014 Chiefs were pretty much the exact same team they were a year ago. It was seriously Groundhog Day-esque as their offense once again ran through Jammal Charles, quarterback Alex Smith maintained his reputation as an effective game-manager who rarely turns the ball over and Justin Houston retained his title as one of the most dominant pass-rushers in the league by leading the league in sacks  with 22. There was a few surprises amidst all the continuity on the Chiefs. Their young offensive line held up far better than expected thanks to a big improvement from second-year tackle Eric Fisher and a borderline All-Pro season from center Rodney Hudson and their mostly prestige-less secondary ended up finishing second in the league against the pass. However, the biggest surprise for the Chiefs this season was the fact that not a single one of their wide receivers were able to reach the endzone all season long. The Chiefs don't exactly have a loaded receiving corps, but their collective inability to reach the endzone even one time this season is mind-blowing. It's a feat so lackluster that it's almost impressive. The Chiefs are far from the flashiest team in the NFL, but as long as they have a solid defense that keeps points off the board and an offense that can manage the clock and not make mistakes, they'll annually be in the hunt for the playoffs.  

Oakland Raiders: Since their Super Bowl appearance in 2002, the Raiders have been one of the worst, if not the worst team in the NFL. The 2014 Raiders lived up to that shameful billing once again as they failed to get much of anything going on either side of the ball for most of the season. They finished in the bottom half of the league in every major statistical category except pass defense (where they ranked in the dead center of the league at 16th) and allowed a ton of points and scored barley any in over half of the games they played this season. This failure wasn't exactly surprising as a majority of their starters were either rookies, veterans far past their prime or journeyman who wouldn't be starting on pretty much any other team in the league. To be fair, there was some bright spots amongst all the misery The Raiders served up this season. This year's draft class appears to be a success as their first two choices, outside linebacker Khalil Mack and quarterback Derek Carr, both impressed in their rookie year. Mack was great against the run all season and started to heat up as a pass-rusher in the last month of the season where he picked up three of his four sacks on the year. Their 3-13 record may not show it, but Carr had a pretty solid season under center. He was pretty accurate and managed to make a lot of plays despite the general lack of talent around him. There's certainly some room for improvement with his mechanics and pocket presence, but Carr appears to be on the right track to blossom into a legit franchise quarterback over the next few years. Second-year running back Latavius Murray also shined when he was thrust into the spotlight late in the season after he picked up a ridiculous 90-yard touchdown run against the Chiefs. Murray saw an increased workload after shining in spot duty and appeared to be the real deal as he finished the season averaging over five yards a carry. With Mack, Carr and Murray joining other young talent like outside linebacker Sio Moore, inside linebacker Miles Burris and much improved cornerback D.J. Hayden, the Raiders are establishing a promising young nucleus of players that could finally turn this team around. New head coach Jack Del Rio will have plenty of cap space and a roster with some serious budding talent on it heading into 2015 and even if it doesn't pan out right away, this is easily the most promise the Raiders have had since Rich Gannon, Rod Woodson, Jerry Rice and Tim Brown led them to their last playoff berth 12 years ago.  

San Diego Chargers: Much like their divisional counterparts in Kansas City, The Chargers were able to follow up their playoff bid from a year ago with a solid season that saw them fall just of short picking up back-to-back postseason appearances. However completely unlike the Chiefs, the Chargers had a whole different set of player step up and strengths as a team emerge this season. Their secondary made a wild transformation from an abysmal unit that ranked 29th in the league in 2013 to a very stout one that ranked fourth in the league this season. What makes this sudden turnaround that much more remarkable is that save for cornerback Brandon Flowers-who was acquired in free agency after he was released by the Chiefs- this is the exact same corps of starters that were got torched on the regular in 2013. Flowers certainly helped matters by returning to the dominant form that was completely absent during his last couple of seasons with the Chiefs, but it was the equally impressive play and sharp improvement from cornerback Shareece Wright and safety Marcus Gilchrist that pushed this unit over the edge. The Chargers seem to have finally formed a complete secondary around perennial Pro Bowl safety Eric Weddle and it has helped out their whole defense immensely. On the flip side, the rushing attack that got them so far in 2013 was all but completely gone this season thanks to injuries to Ryan Matthews and Danny Woodhead. Matthews missed significant time with knee and ankle ailments and Woodhead went down for the year in Week 3 with a broken fibula. Without the two-headed monster of Matthews and Woodhead on the field, replacements Branden Oliver, Donald Brown and Ronnie Brown couldn't get much of anything going, which forced this offense to become relatively one-dimensional for most of the season. If there is any silver lining for the Chargers, Matthews and Woodhead looked good when they were on the field this season, so their return to full strength should remedy their problems in the run game. The one thing that carried over to this year's Chargers from 2013 was the strong play of quarterback Phillip Rivers. Even with a highly disappointing season from top wideout Keenan Allen, Rivers had yet another season with over 4,000 yards and 30 TD's. Given the inconsistent play from all his receivers not named Antonio Gates- who proved his doubters wrong by having another outstanding season at age 34,  it's pretty damn remarkable that Rivers was able to put up the numbers that he did. He may not have the eye-popping resume of a Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Drew Brees or Aaron Rodgers, but Rivers is undoubtedly amongst the upper echelon of quarterbacks in the NFL. The Chargers have a pretty talented roster and if they can sure up their front seven and run the ball on a more consistent basis, they won't be sitting on the couch come playoff time next year.