Tuesday, August 31, 2021

Michael Keaton Ranked

Welcome to "Ranked": Where I rank a franchise or filmography from worst to best and hand out assorted relevant accolades. This week, I'm profiling the work of Michael Keaton-whose latest project "Worth" begins streaming on Netflix this Friday.  

Michael Keaton's Filmography Ranked:

18.Beetlejuice (D)

17.American Assassin (D+)

16.Jack Frost (C)

15.The Protégé (B-) 

14.Night Shift (B-)

13.The Founder (B)

12.RoboCop (B)

11.Batman Returns (B)

10.Need for Speed (B)

9.Spider-Man: Homecoming (B+)

8.Batman (B+)

7.Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) (B+)

6.Spotlight (A-)

5.The Trial of the Chicago 7 (A-)

4.Out of Sight (A-)

3.Jackie Brown (A-)

2.The Other Guys (A)

1.Toy Story 3 (A)

Top Dog: Toy Story 3 (2010)

While the power of its bittersweet ending was slightly downgraded when Disney and Pixar decided to go back to the well for Toy Story 4, not even a big business engaging in standard capitalist practices can undercut the humor, heart and thoughtful musings on human existence that made Toy Story 3 so special       

Lowlight: Beetlejuice (1988)

Tim Burton's love of turning spooky things silly and filling his zany supernatural worlds with an assortment of obnoxious and/or angsty asshats that exist on both sides of the living/dead equation grates on me to such a high degree that it can't be properly quantified in the written word. When it comes to Beetlejuice specifically, the mere thought of the dance possession scene, Keaton's fast talking ghost snake oil salesman schtick and mall goth Winona Ryder making wisecracks to her straight-laced yuppie parents is enough to make me want to vomit on the spot. Now excuse while I go clean the puke from my keyboard.        

Most Underrated: Need for Speed (2014)

Need for Speed is lowkey a borderline great movie. I mean how many B-level action movies based on popular video franchises can say they feature Keaton as a reclusive illegal street racing host/commentator, future Academy Award winner Rami Malek defiantly quitting an office job to re-join his old street racing crew by streaking through the building and a purposely absurd revenge plot that provides legitimately great actors Aaron Paul and Dominic Cooper the opportunity to get into an overacting pissing contest? Far too few, if you ask me. Plus on top all of those shenanigans, the racing scenes are extremely well-executed and the entire movie is driven by a relaxed, playful energy that effortlessly sells the mindless fun vibe its aiming for.

Most Overrated: Beetlejuice (1988)

This and Edward Scissorhands are among my top picks for the most overrated movies I've ever seen. Full quirk mode Tim Burton is just the fucking worst man.

Worst Professional Action Movie of the Past Decade: American Assassin (2017)

American Assassin unintentionally provides a template of how not to make an action movie that has  legitimate actors, production values, etc. (Translation: Isn't just a cheapo VOD hack job starring a half asleep Bruce Willis, Thomas Jane or Jesse Metcalfe)  The pacing is glacial, the action is choppy, none of the characters have any charisma and above all, the story is convoluted, inefficient and completely unengaging.  

Most Disrespected Tarantino Project: Jackie Brown (1997)

Jackie Brown is often cited as Quentin Tarantino's worst movie and this popular take is something that I've strongly disagreed with since I saw Jackie Brown for the 1st time roughly 7 years ago. Is it on the level of my favorites from him (Pulp Fiction, Reservoir Dogs, Kill Bill Vo1. 1, Django Unchained, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood...)? Not quite. However, it's a very stylish, hilarious and terrifically acted (Pam Grier, Samuel L. Jackson, Robert De Niro, Robert Forester, Bridget Fonda and Keaton all crush) crime saga that demonstrates that Tarantino is capable of utilizing a more meditative, restrained approach to storytelling when he wants to.  

Monday, August 30, 2021

10 Most Anticipated Movies of Fall 2021

Whether you were comfortable enough with returning to theaters or continued to stay at home, movie fans were treated with the luxury of having a relatively normal summer movie slate to work through this year. Even if it didn't feel especially nice to get the chance to watch so many big new movies after being deprived of that opportunity in 2020, the May-August 2021 period would go down as a season of note. The Suicide Squad provided the greatest evidence to date as to why a filmmaker's artistic vision is more important to a superhero film than how an individual title fits into a broader franchiseA Quiet Place Part II proved that even sequels that don't feel necessary on paper can come along and not only justify their existence, but match or even exceed the quality of its beloved predecessor. Zola reinforced why nothing good ever comes out out of spending time in Florida.   

So what does the final act of the 2021 cinematic year have in store for viewers outside of the renewed threat of COVID wreaking havoc on the intended release schedule? Some more long delayed blockbusters (No Time to Die, The King's Man, Top Gun: Maverick) and high-profile Netflix releases (Don't Look Up, Red Notice, The Harder They Fall). A busy theatrical awards slate (Spencer, Nightmare Alley, The French Dispatch, A Journal for Jordan, King Richard, Cyrano) that may prove to be the greatest sign of a return to normalcy in Hollywood to date. And of course the feature attraction:  A pair of Europe-set Ridley Scott movies (The Last Duel, House of Gucci) featuring American actors doing hilariously cartoony accents. Here are the 10 movies I'm most looking forward to watching (if I'm given the chance to) from September through December.

(Updated on September 1st as a response to the delays of Jackass Forever and Top Gun: Maverick)

10.Prisoners of the Ghostland (September 17th)     

Nicolas Cage and Sion Sono are a depraved oddball B-movie dream pairing and Cage declaring that Prisoners' of the Ghostland-which centers around a notorious bank robber (Cage) whose tasked by a local crime lord (Bill Moseley) to retrieve his daughter (Sofia Boutella) from a cursed wasteland that's ruled by ghost samurai- is the "wildest movie he's ever made" is one hell of a proclamation for a man with his resume to make.

9.Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (September 3rd):

Not even the pretty severe bout of Marvel fatigue I'm currently dealing with can ruin the excitement I have towards watching a martial arts/superhero hybrid that's co-written and directed by the great Destin Daniel Cretton (Short Term 12, Just Mercy), shot by the legendary Bill Pope (The Matrix trilogy, Baby Driver) and had an elite stunt team (Mark Ginther, Lu Junchang, Kyle Woods, Andy Cheng, Christopher Clark Cowan, Yung Lee, Guillermo Grispo, the recently deceased Brad Allan) work on its action sequences.   

8.Kate (September 10th):

After turning in a scene-stealing supporting performance as Huntress in Birds of Prey last year, Mary Elizabeth Winstead gets a much deserved chance to lead a hard R-action movie. While the sketchy pedigrees of both director Cedric Nicolas-Troyan (The Huntsman's Winter's War) and writer Umair Allem (the 2015 Bruce Willis and Gina Carano-led VOD trashpile Extraction) certainly opens the door for this to underwhelm, the slick atmosphere teased in the trailer, simplicity of its plot (Winstead plays a Tokyo-based assassin who was poisoned during a hit and now has 24 hours to track down the individual responsible before she dies) and featured presence of John Wick trilogy stunt/fight coordinator Jonathan Eusebio on the crew has me cautiously optimistic that Winstead's 1st taste of being a top-billed badass will be worthwhile.  

7.Dune (October 22nd):

Dune's reputation as an extremely complex, dense novel that's only geared towards the most hardcore sci-fi fans had scared me off of the latest film adaptation for a very long time. Then that epic final trailer dropped in late July and I suddenly was all-in. Do I have a firm handle on the specifics of the plot? Absolutely not. Is there still a very real possibility that it's just too damn much for my little brain to handle? Of course. Is there even a remote chance that I won't be excited to make a Denis Villeneuve-approved visit to a theater to watch Dune after being exposed to that enchanting, beautifully shot 3 minute clip full of A-list actors yelling about important space matters behind a majestic Hans Zimmer score? Nope.    

6.Halloween Kills (October 15th):

2018's Halloween was a terrific slasher film that also featured a surprisingly resonant subtext about generational trauma and PTSD. The fascinating sequel concept of Laurie Strode (Jamie Lee Curtis) organizing the people of Haddonfield to fight back against Michael Myers opens the door for a further exploration of those themes as well as the high likelihood of a lot more blood flowing through the suburban Illinois streets.      

5.No Time to Die (October 8th):

Daniel Craig is easily my favorite James Bond to date and based on the incredible trailers that have highlighted the insanely massive action setpieces and plethora of very talented new blood that was brought in this time around (director Cary Joji Fukunaga, Rami Malek as the main antagonist, Lashana Lynch, Ana de Armas and Billy Magnussen as Bond's new colleagues), it seems like there's a good chance that he'll get the triumphant swan song he deserves.

4.The King's Man (December 22nd):

Date reshuffling caused by Disney's takeover of Fox and COVID have shelved Kingsman prequel The King's Man for so long that Matthew Vaughn has already started production on his next spy action blockbuster (the Apple-backed Argylle-which boasts a stacked ensemble cast led by Henry Cavill, Sam Rockwell and Bryce Dallas Howard). Despite what will amount to a 25-month delay if it sticks to its current date, I'm excited to see how the franchise's signature over-the-top action/gadgetry and snarky comedy translates to an early 1900's setting with a completely new set of actors (Ralph Fiennes, Harris Dickinson, Gemma Arterton, Djimon Honsou, Rhys Ifans, Matthew Goode, Daniel Bruhl, Charles Dance, Aaron-Taylor Johnson, Stanley Tucci) .  

3.The Harder They Fall (October 20th theatrical/November 3rd streaming):

Hyperstylized westerns make their long awaited (for me at least) return to the cinematic landscape with what has to be one of the most absurdly loaded ensemble casts (Idris Elba, Jonathan Majors, Zazie Beetz, Regina King, LaKeith Stanfield, Delroy Lindo, R.J. Cyler) in recent memory being tasked with bringing the slow motion-aided shootouts, stickups and horse chases to life. If the quality of the teaser trailer is any indication, The Harder They Fall is going to be a wild, bloody and intoxicating ride. 

2.Last Night in Soho (October 29th):

An eerie, hallucinatory psychological horror project led by a pair of top-flight young talents (Thomasin McKenzie, Anya Taylor-Joy) is exactly the type of bold swing Edgar Wright is known for and considering its placement on the lineups at both the Venice and Toronto film festivals along with how striking its teaser trailer is, I'm very optimistic that the cult favorite British filmmaker has put together another uniquely winning project.

1.Don't Look Up (December 10th theatrical/December 24th streaming):

Hearing Adam McKay (The Big Short, Vice) describe Don't Look Up as the most comedic film he's made since Anchorman 2 is great news. The fact that McKay enlisted the likes of Jennifer Lawrence, Leonardo DiCaprio and about two dozen other performers of note to handle the delicate tonal balance that a dark comedy about a pair of astronomers (Lawrence, DiCaprio) and a scientist (Rob Morgan) who embark on a huge press tour to warn the American public about the impending arrival of an asteroid that's likely going to destroy Earth is bound to have to navigate is even better news. 

Also Looking Forward To:

Wild Indian (September 3rd)

Worth (September 3rd)

The Card Counter (September 10th)

Malignant (September 10th)

Queenpins (September 10th theatrical/September 30th streaming)

Best Sellers (September 17th)

Copshop (September 17th)

Cry Macho (September 17th)

The Eyes of Tammy Faye (September 17th)

The Nowhere Inn (September 17th)

The Starling (September 17th theatrical/September 24th streaming)

Intrusion (September 22nd)

The Guilty (September 24th theatrical/October 1st streaming)

Titane (October 1st)

There's Someone Inside Your House (October 6th)

Mass (October 8th)

The Last Duel (October 15th)

Venom: Let There Be Carnage (October 15th)

Night Teeth (October 20th)

Passing (October 27th theatrical/November 10th streaming)

Antlers (October 29th)

Army of Thieves (October 29th)

Eternals (November 5th)

Spencer (November 5th)

Ghostbusters: Afterlife (November 11th)

Red Notice (November 12th)

King Richard (November 19th)

Top Gun: Maverick (November 19th)

Bruised (November 24th)

Encanto (November 24th)

House of Gucci (November 24th)

National Champions (November 24th)

Resident Evil: Welcome to Raccoon City (November 24th)

The Unforgiveable (November 24th theatrical/December 10th streaming)

Nightmare Alley (December 3rd)

A Journal for Jordan (December 10th)

Violence of Action (December 10th)

Spider-Man: No Way Home (December 17th)

The Matrix: Resurrections (December 22nd)

Being the Ricardos (TBD)

C'mon C'mon (TBD)

Red Rocket (TBD)

Friday, August 27, 2021

Quick Movie Reviews: Free Guy, Don't Breathe 2, Sweet Girl, The Night House

Free Guy: For the opening 80 minutes, Free Guy is great fun. Its take on video games and the culture that breeds them is clever and funny, the action sequences/effects are outstanding and Ryan Reynolds' charming turn as the titular non-playable video game character turned unlikely hero is a reminder of just how great he is at playing imminently likable characters. Then the final 25 minutes come along and its nearly cemented greatness suddenly crumbles as the film wraps up with a couple of nauseating romantic scenes between two supporting real world characters (Jodie Comer, Joe Keery-who are otherwise quite good here) and an instance of shameless, unexpected product placement that is significantly more egregious and off-putting than the entirety of Space Jam: A New Legacy. Even with that rough ending, Free Guy is still a pleasant, worthwhile experience that should really delight fans of video games or just good-natured escapist cinema.   

Grade: B

Don't Breathe 2: Any sequel to the supremely tense home invasion thriller Don't Breathe would require some retooling to work. The ending to the original was concrete enough where a direct continuation was off the table and simply sending another group of naïve people to make another run at an "easy" heist would've made it a stale, gimmicky retread . To its credit, Don't Breathe 2 manages to be something that's reasonably fresh while still working inside a recognizable framework. Reforming The Blind Man (Stephen Lang in another intimidating, quietly meditative performance) into a bit of a tortured antihero is a clever way to flip the script without glossing over the character's past sins and by heading into more of a sadistic thriller direction, they're able to take the story to some very dark places that allows for the expansion of the monstrous lore of both The Blind Man and the people that end up crossing his path. While this shift in genres does minimize the tension level that made the original so gripping (although it does need to be noted that there is a home invasion sequence early in the film that is every bit as technically impressive and nerve-shredding as anything in the original), it's ultimately a small price to pay for a sequel that's far more entertaining, subversive and well-made than it should be.  

Grade: B

Sweet Girl: Remember when Steven Seagal used to make overly serious action movies that had some kind of critique about a big real world issue baked into a convoluted, melodramatic revenge plot and not nearly enough action to compensate for its crappy attempt to add a meaningful subtext to a meathead matinee special? Throw in an absurd final act plot twist and slightly less suspect acting than you'd find in a Seagal affair, and that's exactly the kind of movie Sweet Girl is. In fact, the film mirrors the mediocrity, monotony and bungled social commentary of Hard to Kill so extensively that it feels like an unintended remake. Now if Jason Momoa and director Brian Andrew Mendoza-who just happens to be Momoa's best friend-want to reunite for a reboot of a more self-aware, silly Seagal feature like Out for Justice or Under Siege, I'd be all for it. But they should never dabble with this type of corny, deadly serious action/family drama nonsense ever again. 

Grade: C

The Night House: When it comes to creating an unnerving atmosphere that leaves the viewer in a constant state of panic, The Night House is a relentless tour de force. The use of silence, slow-panning camerawork that lurks on every shadow, tree and staircase that comes in its path and some highly effective jump scares that pop up with no warning ensures that the threat of danger is always present- which turns nearly every scene into a mental and cardiac endurance test that is often overwhelming. It's not quite as successful as a psychological drama/metaphor for depression, grief and survivor's guilt, but a stunning lead performance from Rebecca Hall as a recently widowed woman who begins to experience a string of potential paranormal occurrences at her secluded upstate New York lake house in the weeks following her husband's suicide along with a clever, unexpected finale provide enough emotional resonance to turn this into a pretty damn special, multi-faceted horror flick.    

Grade: B+

Thursday, August 26, 2021

2021 NFL Preview: NFC South

 Atlanta Falcons

2020 Record: 4-12 (4th in AFC South)

Head Coach: Arthur Smith (1st season)

Notable Additions: RB Mike Davis, RB/WR/KR Cordarrelle Patterson, S Duron Harmon

Notable Departures: WR Julio Jones, RB Todd Gurley, S Keanu Neal

Biggest Reason for Excitement: Arthur Smith

Offense hasn't really been a problem for the Falcons during the Matt Ryan era. Kyle Shanahan and Dirk Koetter oversaw some of the most explosive units in the league during their tenures as OC while even the unsuccessful Steve Sarkisian NFL experiment resulted in a perfectly competent group that was capable of scoring in bunches at any given moment.

Even with their established offensive success over much of the past decade, the arrival of Arthur Smith is still great news for the team. Smith turned a Titans offense that was extremely flat and predictable before he was promoted to OC into a straight up juggernaut that utilized the running and play action passing game as well as any offense in the league in just 2 years on the job. While not quite as loaded as the Titans group he's leaving, there's still a great corps of talent here that will provide Smith with an opportunity to implement a system that's at least pretty similar to the simple, power scheme he ran with the Titans. Now if Smith manages to prove that he picked up some leadership and game managing skills from his former boss Mike Vrabel, he'll have just about every tool he needs to become a successful head coach in the NFL at his disposal.     

Biggest Question Mark: Mike Davis' Viability As A Top Back

As strong as Smith's scheming was with the Titans, having perhaps the most punishing brick shithouse power back of all time in Derrick Henry as the driving force behind the running attack certainly heavily contributed to the success. Now that's he moved on to Atlanta, he's tasked with finding a new guy to take over the very important lead back mantle in his run-driven system. This challenge was made particularly difficult by the Falcons having a very underwhelming rushing attack in 2020 (27th in the league) and subsequently gutting their entire depth chart after the season (Todd Gurley, Brian Hill, Ito Smith) save for 4th string back Qadree Ollision as a result of those woes. 

The man that Smith and new GM Terry Fontenot decided to task with filling this vital role is Mike Davis. The 28-year old journeyman back resurrected his career in Carolina last season when he was called upon to replace the injured Christian McCaffery in the starting lineup and did a pretty admirable job of filling CMC's shoes (1,015 scrimmage YDS and 8 TD's in 15 games/12 starts). Despite Davis' pretty solid 2020 season, there are a couple of concerning stats that muddle his status as a workhouse back.

The first problematic number is his YPC (3.9). Putting up that blah of a number behind a completely fine Panthers o-line and without the burden of going up against stacked boxes that McCaffery faced when he lined up being the quarterback isn't exactly the most ringing endorsement of your rushing ability. The second alarming stat pertains to how much he faded after the hot 5 game start to his tenure as a starter. Defenses seemed to figure out his rushing/route running style pretty quickly as he posted less than 65 scrimmage YDS in 6 of the final 9 games he appeared in (he was inactive for the Week 17 contest against the Saints). Pair those average stats with a spotty usage rate in situations where he wasn't forced into the starting lineup and you have a guy that has a very cloudy outlook as he enters his 1st season as a full-time starting running back in the NFL.

If the Davis experiment doesn't work this season, the Falcons are going to have a very tough time trying to field a replacement. The current top backup is gadget player/return specialist Cordarrelle Patterson-who just isn't a natural rusher of the football and the battle for the #3 spot is between D'Onta Foreman-whose struggled to stay on an NFL roster after flashing a little bit as a rookie with the Texans back in 2017 and the aforementioned Ollision-who currently averages a whopping 2.3 YDS per carry through 2 NFL seasons. Unless Smith wants to completely abandon the principles that gained him this job in the first place, Davis is going to have to prove he's worthy of the huge and perhaps unwarranted gamble the Falcons are taking on him by treating him as a clear #1 back.          

Key to Reaching Their Ceiling: Getting Literally Anything Out of Their Defense

Defense quite simply just isn't in the Falcons DNA. This is a team that rode the strength of their offense to a Super Bowl appearance in 2016 and has continued to either win shootouts or get dusted as a result of not being able to stop anyone in the very erratic years that have followed that tragic near title run. Considering that they hired an offensive-minded head coach and still have a high-powered group in place led by Matt Ryan, Calvin Ridley and the potentially electrifying rookie tight end Kyle Pitts that are the clear stars of the operation, defense is still very much an afterthought for the Falcons.

What's been very confusing about the new regime's early approach is that they haven't done much to change this blatant deficiency. Rangey safety Richie Grant-who was selected in the 2nd round-was the only high draft pick they invested in on the defensive side of the ball and their free agency moves were limited to gambling on scrap heap young guys in an attempt to bolster their corner depth (Fabian Moreau), special teamers that occasionally moonlight as linebackers (Brandon Copeland) and a mediocre-to-decent veteran that has struggled to excel without other great DB's surrounding him (Duron Harmon). 

The best hope for getting the level of defensive support they need to get out of being the team that can only win game by scoring a shit ton of points lies in the hands of defensive coordinator Dean Pees. Pees has worked some magic with suspect talent many times in the past and having a couple of cornerstone pieces that are in their middle of their primes (Grady Jarrett, Deion Jones) and some young players with high upsides (A.J. Terrell, Marlon Davidson, Grant) gives this a bit more of a ceiling than you'd expect to find on a team that ranked dead last against the pass and 19th in scoring defense a year ago. Whether he can get it done, especially after spending a year away from the game after a less than inspiriting stint with the Titans from 2018-19, is another question entirely, but the raw potential to build a viable-enough defense this team needs to successfully adapt Smith's established system is certainly there. 

Bottom Line:

The lack of proven talent on their defense paired with this brutally tough division makes it hard to expect anything better than 5-7 win season.   

Carolina Panthers

2020 Record: 5-11 (3rd in NFC South)

Head Coach: Matt Rhule (2nd season)

Notable Additions: QB Sam Darnold, OLB Hasson Reddick, T Cameron Erving

Notable Departures: QB Teddy Bridgewater, WR Curtis Samuel, DT Kawann Short

Biggest Reason for Excitement: Christian McCaffery's Return

The Panthers offense fared better than expected in McCaffery's-who missed 13 games with ankle and shoulder ailments-absence last year in large part due to the contributions of the starting receiver trio (D.J. Moore, Robby Anderson, Curtis Samuel-the former two of which cleared 1,000+ YDS for the year) and a stronger than expected performance from fill-in starter than Mike Davis. Despite the relative overperformance from these skills players, they were still ultimately a 5 win team with the 24th ranked scoring offense in football that greatly missed McCaffery's dynamism and nose for the endzone (McCaffery scored 6 TD's in just 3 games, Davis only got 8 in 15).

Having McCaffery be at 100%  heading into the season is a godsend for this team. OC Joe Brady can cook up all sorts of weird, creative formations that make use of his versatility, the focus on McCaffery can open up more opportunities for Moore, Anderson and rookie Terrace Marshall Jr.-who is on track to replace Samuel as the team's #3 wideout- to make plays and Sam Darnold gets the luxury of having the help of an elite rusher/safety valve pass catcher out of the backfield to help ease his transition to Carolina. The stock of this team goes way up with a healthy McCaffery in the cards and it's possible they end up really surprising people if he can remain that way.  

Biggest Question Mark: Sam Darnold

Even after 3 full seasons as an NFL starter, Sam Darnold is still a complete unknown. His failure with the Jets outside of his unfortunate stint with mono and the viral "I'm Seeing Ghosts!"mic'd up video from an ugly Monday Night Football game against the Patriots came from factors that were largely out of his control (coaching, offensive line/receiver play) and the fact that no other QB that started a game for the Jets from 2018-20 was able to win a single game further cements that he wasn't the root of the problems there. 

So how do you reasonably evaluate someone who is coming from such a god awful situation? You really can't. Everything about Darnold's NFL potential is speculative. Yes, we saw him light things up back at USC in 2016.  Yes, he's make some really spectacular plays at the pro level. Yes, he's still just 24 years old and there's a widespread belief that's he still got time to get back on the franchise QB path. However, there's not a shred of concrete evidence that the kid is ever going to be able to put it together at this level. The Panthers knew they were taking a gamble on Darnold when they traded for him and considering the cost of acquiring him (a 2nd, 4th and 6th round pick spread out over the course of 2 seasons), they're right to do it because the upside that's underneath all of the unknown is just too substantial to pass up on.      

Key to Reaching Their Ceiling: Darnold Being the Player People He Could Be

Now, let's just imagine that Darnold DOES pan out to be the big time, lightning bolt-throwing gunslinger that people were expecting him to be when he came out of USC. Think about how much of a morale booster it would be for a Panthers organization that has been in QB purgatory since Cam Newton's last winning season in 2017. All of the huge plays he could reel off with Christian McCaffery, D.J. Moore, Robby Anderson, Terrace Marshall and David Moore by his side. The amount of material Jets fans could mine for their latest batch of misery sermons. Darnold's sudden turnaround upon leaving New York would really just be a beautiful story of perseverance that sports fans from all over the globe would happily eat up.

Since the secondary factors were so paramount to his failure with the Jets, coaching, offensive line and receivers should once again be heavily influencing Darnold's trajectory. 

Even though nobody really has a read on just how good of a coach Brady really is just yet, we do know that helped mold Joe Burrow into the top-tier prospect he is today during his time at LSU and isn't the talent-suffocating stooge that Gase is. 

While offensive line isn't exactly a point of strength for the Panthers (particularly on the interior where they're currently expected to start John Miller and Pat Eleflein at guard), the group is still nowhere near as bad as the ones he dealt with during his time with the Jets. Taylor Moton is one of the best right tackles in the league right now, Matt Paradis is still just a couple of years removed from a dominant season with the Broncos and Cameron Erving has held up surprisingly well since shifting to left tackle last season. 

Lastly, it almost goes without saying that the receiver is easily the lowest area of concern from this bunch. This Panthers group is talented and deep enough that they honestly might be in contention for a top 5 overall slot in the entire league. Moore is the rare player that boasts both the speed and tracking ability to be a home-run hitter downfield and the route running/ YAC combo to make things happen underneath, Anderson is coming off a career year and has the added benefit of having  played with Darnold before (although some would argue that their connection while they were with the Jets wasn't particularly strong) and Marshall Jr. has looked like a deadly deep/redzone threat during the preseason On top of all that, McCaffery is arguably the most reliable and dangerous pass-catching running back in the league right now. Fair or not, Darnold has 2 years at most to prove that's he a franchise-caliber QB and it's going to be fascinating to see if the change in scenery can bring all of the untapped potential to the surface as well as put a stop to the string of backbreaking bad breaks that have set him back in the past.

Bottom Line:

Sam Darnold's play and Christian McCaffery's health will likely be the deciding factors between the Panthers being a pleasant surprise and a nondescript middler.      

New Orleans Saints

2020 Record: 12-4 (1st in NFC South)

Head Coach: Sean Payton (15th season)

Notable Additions: CB Brian Poole, WR Chris Hogan, RB Devonta Freeman

Notable Departures: QB Drew Brees (retired), CB Janoris Jenkins, TE Jared Cook

Biggest Reason for Excitement: Jameis Winston

There's plenty of practical reasons to get excited about this year's Saints team. Alvin Kamara is in the midst of his prime, their excellent defense was able to keep all of their key cogs together for another year after franchising star safety Marcus Williams back in March and they still have the best tackle duo in football (Terron Armstead, Ryan Ramcyzk) leading their offensive line into battle every week. As important as these dependable pieces are to the success of the Saints operation, their expected strong performance makes them predictable and kind of boring. What they need is a true wild card that can come in and wage war on monotony with an endless supply of chaotic energy. Enter Jameis Winston.

After nearly 15 years of experiencing the same cycle of regular season dominance and postseason collapses with Drew Brees at the helm, the Saints are being blessed with a quarterback that is the exact opposite. The Jameis Winston Experience is akin to watching a DCU movie or going to a cheap buffet: You don't know if you're walking into something that's really spectacular or a hulking trash heap, but it's going to be really memorable either way.

Being deprived of Winston's gunslinging theatrics in 2020 is lowkey one of the reasons why the season was so god damn boring. Going through 17 weeks of action without seeing any of Winston's gonzo magic just felt wrong. Guys like Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers and Lamar Jackson might play the position with a lot of electricity, but no other quarterback right can provide the level of strong, animated reactions that Winston does when he is blindly chucking darts downfield without a care in the world about where it lands. 

The term "backyard football" is egregiously overused when discussing the mobility and improvisation skills of modern QB's, but that's really the best way to describe how Winston plays. Hell, I'd argue that Winston is the only true backyard QB because he's the only guy that I've ever seen play the position with such a pure level of freedom that it feels like he's not even following a game plan or being coached at all. Of course that's an absolutely reckless and insane way to play a game that's so complex and usually has an outcome determined by time of possession, but the simplicity and lack of structure to his approach is just fascinating to behold. The fact that it seems like the Saints QB job seems like its Winston's to lose right now is the best possible news for the league and I look forward to seeing this gridiron cowboy ride again.  

Biggest Question Mark: Who is Going to Player Receiver in Michael Thomas' Absence

This preseason buzz about Marquez Callaway-which should only accelerate after his ridiculous performance against the Jaguars on Monday night-better translate to the regular season because the Saints pass-catchers situation is more dire than ever. At least during Michael Thomas' extended absence last season, the Saints had vets like Jared Cook and Emmanuel Sanders to lean on when Alvin Kamara needed a break from being the sole offensive playmaker. Now with Thomas once again out until at least the beginning of October as he recoups from offseason ankle surgery, the Saints will have to shuffle through their seemingly always questionable depth chart and attempt to get some contributions from unexpected places. 

Even if Callaway turns out to be something, an undrafted 2nd year player can't be the only reliable option in the passing game. The problem is that the rest of the supporting cast save for rookie Kawann Baker are known, uninspired commodities. Tre'Quan Smith has yet to capitalize on all of the "breakout potential" that national pundits has claimed he has for the past 36 years, Chris Hogan was playing professional lacrosse over football just a couple months ago, Lil'Jordan Humphrey is practice squad fodder whose only seen the field in emergency situations, Kevin White is a tragic reclamation project that's yet to make any real progress in his NFL comeback and new starting tight end Adam Trautman-who was a popular pick to be their new #2 target heading into 2021-has barely received any snaps in the preseason and just managed to get dinged up in Monday's contest with the Jaguars. The Saints have always had enough offensive juice in the past to overcome their lack of secondary pass-catching options, but if Callaway doesn't stick or god forbid Kamara gets hurt, the front office's longstanding failure to maintain receiver/tight end depth will finally end up really hurting the team.      

Key to Reaching Their Ceiling: A Healthy Alvin Kamara

Everything I've mentioned above about the Saints points to the obvious: Their offense is going to be more reliant on Kamara than before. Now this seems like a kind of wild statement to make about a guy whose gained 6,164 scrimmage YDS and scored 58 TD's on 998 touches during his 4 seasons with the Saints, but it's true. The entire offense is pretty much going to run through him until Thomas gets back and nobody knows just how effective their All-Pro wideout will be when he returns.

Kamara is still just 26 years old and has managed to avoid a catastrophic injury thus far (he's only missed 4 games in his career), but considering the ridiculous volume he gets, he's very susceptible to sustaining something serious and 2021 would be the worst possible time for Kamara to be sidelined for a significant period of time. 

In his absence, the thin support beams that are holding up the Saints offense would come crashing down in swift, spectacular fashion. Backup Latavius Murray is a perfectly adequate rusher and Winston could definitely hit some home runs that would get them out of some jams, but the lack of playmaking prowess and more importantly, versatility on the field would completely handcuff this offense and put a ton of pressure on their defense to drive the bus-which isn't something this team has had ever had to do during the Sean Payton-era. There's already plenty of questions about the functionality of this offense with Kamara in it and that shit would turn to full blown panic in an instant without him.

Bottom Line:

A regression in the 1st season of the post-Drew Brees era in New Orleans seems inevitable, but there's still enough talent here for them to compete for a playoff spot if they can stay healthy and Winston can keep his turnovers somewhat under control.    

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2020 Record: 11-5 (2nd in AFC South)

Head Coach: Bruce Arians (3rd season)

Notable Addition: RB Giovani Bernard

Notable Departures: T Joe Haeg, RB LeSean McCoy, ILB Deon Bucannon

Biggest Reason for Excitement: They Retained Every Single Starter from Last Season

This is perhaps the most egregious case of "Kings Stays Kings" to occur during the NFL's free agency era. Not even the 2020 Chiefs-who only lost 2 full time starters from their 2019 Super Bowl Champion squad (excluding COVID opt-out Laurent DuVernay-Tardif and Damien Williams) and one of them was punter Dustin Colquitt-were able to achieve that level of continuity. If anything they got marginally better by bringing in Giovani Bernard to replace National Museum of History Exhibit LeSean McCoy as their 3rd running back. The takeaway from this? The Tom Brady effect has traveled to Tampa (outside of franchise tag recipient Chris Godwin, the notable veteran free agents including Shaq Barrett, Lavonte David and Ndamukong Suh all re-signed for slightly below market value ), which is bad news for the rest of the league    

Biggest Question Mark: Tom Brady Being Able to String Together Another Ageless Season

I'm not naïve enough to think this has a strong likelihood of happening, but it's the most feasible  question mark possible for a defending Super Bowl champion that lost no key pieces and doesn't have a ton of older players. 

The top thing that's been glossed over about Brady's largely impressive 2020 Super Bowl campaign was how uncharacteristically sloppy he looked at times. Could those struggles have been a product of him having to learn a new offense and work with a completely new group of receivers for the first time in 20 years? Yes, particularly in the early portions of the year when the Bucs hadn't yet established their future championship form. Maybe the torn MCL he played with for most of the season is was a factor? Not likely considering the way he plays the position, but it's still a significant enough injury to not completely overlook. However, neither of these things are enough to explain or excuse moments like the 4 INT 2nd half debacle that almost cost the Bucs the trip to said Super Bowl or the 3 multi-INT games he had in November (Saints, Rams, Chiefs). 

Brady has completely spat in the face of Father Time every step of the way thus far by continuing to win games and play championship caliber football nearly every time he steps on the field, but despite all that dominance, he's managed to put forth a higher (yet hardly backbreaking) volume of bad plays as he's aged and it's not unfathomable to think that number will go up in his age 44 season.   

Key to Reaching Their Ceiling: The Defense Continuing The Strong Play They Displayed in the Playoffs

The secret weapon behind the Bucs Super Bowl run was the defense getting hot at the right time. After a pretty middling season where they displayed a pretty crippling vulnerability to the pass (they ranked 21st in the league in YDS and 20th in TD's allowed), the group turned into a complete lockdown unit in the playoffs that managed to completely shut down Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes over the same 3 year period (ironically, the only QB who did any real damage against them in the playoffs was Football Team backup Taylor Henicke in his 2nd career start). Now, the big question is has this group turned the corner or was this just a case of a middling group getting hot at the right time?

The available evidence is really split. On the plus side, their run defense has been consistently stifling for the past 3 years now (they've ranked 1st in the league in back-to-back seasons) and Todd Bowles is a creative and aggressive enough defensive mind to ensure that their pass rush is able to consistently make an impact. On the negative side, they have an extremely young secondary (Carlton Davis, Jamel Dean, Sean Murphy-Bunting, Antoine Winfield Jr, Jordan Whitehead) that is inevitably subject to the volatility that comes with playing those positions at the pro level and their highly touted inside linebacker Devin White is just as likely to miss a tackle or get torched in coverage as he is to make one of the eye-popping highlight-reel plays that have helped greatly inflate his reputation in the league. Ultimately, the answer will likely come down to how well Bowles can handle the development of the young guys and considering the strength of his track record, Bucs fans should fell very confident that this group is going to look like they did during their 2020 Super Bowl Run moving forward.  

Bottom Line:

Barring a stunning rapid decline in play from Brady, the Bucs will once again be at the top of the mountain of Super Bowl contenders.

Projected Standings:

1.Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13-4)

2.New Orleans Saints (9-8)

3.Carolina Panthers (7-10)

4.Atlanta Falcons (5-12) 

Wednesday, August 25, 2021

2021 NFL Power Rankings: Preseason Edition

Here's a quick look at where I believe the 2021 NFL hierarchy stands heading into the final week of preseason action. Week 1 Power Rankings will be posted on Tuesday September 7th and will be updated every subsequent Tuesday until the end of the regular season. 

1.Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2.Kansas City Chiefs

3.Green Bay Packers

4.Buffalo Bills

5.Baltimore Ravens

6.Cleveland Browns

7.Los Angeles Rams

8.Seattle Seahawks 

9.Tennessee Titans

10.Miami Dolphins

11.New Orleans Saints

12.Minnesota Vikings

13.New England Patriots

14.Washington Football Team

15.Indianapolis Colts

16.Pittsburgh Steelers

17.Arizona Cardinals

18.San Francisco 49ers

19.Los Angeles Chargers

20.Denver Broncos

21.Chicago Bears

22.Las Vegas Raiders

23.New York Giants

24.Carolina Panthers

25.Dallas Cowboys

26.Atlanta Falcons

27.Philadelphia Eagles

28.New York Jets

29.Cincinnati Bengals 

30.Detroit Lions

31.Jacksonville Jaguars

32.Houston Texans

Monday, August 23, 2021

Fantasy Football 2021: Sleeper Madness

Last week was all about the guys that were going too high, now it's time for the potential hidden gems to shine. Here are my position by position picks for the top sleepers in Fantasy Football this year.

Quarterback: Matt Ryan (Falcons) (Yahoo!: 123.2 ESPN: 152.0)

There's every reason to believe that new Falcons head coach Arthur Smith intends to utilize the same run-driven scheme that brought him tremendous success during his tenure as the Titans offensive coordinator in Atlanta. The only thing standing in the way of fully implementing that system is a truly abysmal defense that is likely going to regularly put the Falcons on the undesirable end of a lopsided game. This scenario would be the best possible outcome for Ryan's fantasy stock. His steady presence/accuracy from the pocket and the pretty full chest of weapons (Calvin Ridley, Kyle Pitts, Russell Gage, Mike Davis) that is currently surrounding him seems like the perfect blueprint for him to become this year's shameless stat-padding garbage time god.  

Honorable Mentions: Kirk Cousins (Vikings), Baker Mayfield (Browns),  Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)

Deep Sleeper: Sam Darnold (Panthers)

Rookie Sleeper: Zach Wilson (Jets)

Running Back: Damien Harris (Patriots) (Yahoo!: 82.4 ESPN: 104.7)

While a backfield that looks to be as crowded as the one the Patriots are fielding heading into 2021 isn't usually the most desirable situation for Fantasy Football, Harris seems like he'll be in a good position to at least seize a majority of the running game touches from the likes of James White, Sony Michel and rookie Rhamondre Stevenson, and subsequently become the leader in the timeshare. The 3rd year back was very impressive in a semi-featured role last season (137 CAR/691 YDS/4 TD in 10 games) and if the Patriots can establish just enough of a passing game to clear the consistently stacked boxes that slowed him down a bit in 2020, Harris should be able to greatly overperform the RB3/4 status that he's currently saddled with. 

Honorable Mentions: James Robinson (Jaguars), Ronald Jones II (Buccaneers), Zack Moss (Bills)

Deep Sleeper: Boston Scott (Eagles)

Rookie Sleeper: Michael Carter (Jets) 

Wide Receiver: Corey Davis (Jets) (Yahoo!: 124.0 ESPN: 121.2)

The move up to East Rutherford could end up tremendously benefiting Davis-who was a notoriously erratic, streaky player during his 4 seasons with the run-dominant Titans. Not only is Davis being treated as an undisputed top target for the 1st time in his career (he's received a whopping 11 targets in 2 preseason games despite playing limited snaps), his early rapport with rookie quarterback Zach Wilson has been tremendous and a presumed lack of exciting secondary options outside of the currently injured rookie Elijah Moore and 2nd year wild card Denzel Mims means Davis could have an uncharacteristically busy year ahead of him  

Honorable Mentions: Laviska Shenault (Jaguars), Darnell Mooney (Bears), Michael Pittman Jr. Colts)

Deep Sleeper: Marquez Callaway (Saints)

Rookie Sleeper: Elijah Moore (Jets)

Tight End: Mike Gesicki (Dolphins) (Yahoo!: 114.9 ESPN: 112.3)

Gesicki settled into a nice groove with Tua Tagovailoa at the end of last season (25 REC/284/4 TD's in the final 5 games Gesicki played in) and with all of the other top Dolphins passcatchers either being hurt (Will Fuller, DeVante Parker, Preston Williams) or rookies (Jaylen Waddle, Hunter Long) that still need time to adjust to the pro game, that established rapport should help the 4th year tight end earn a much larger portion of the target share than he's gotten in the past. 

Honorable Mentions: Irv Smith Jr. (Vikings), Austin Hooper (Browns), Anthony Firkser (Titans)

Deep Sleeper: Mo-Allie Cox (Colts)

Rookie Sleeper: Pat Friermuth (Steelers)

Defense/Special Teams: Browns (Yahoo!: 117.7 ESPN: 148.7)

The huge offseason additions of John Johnson III, Jadeveon Clowney and Troy Hill paired with the return of a healthy Denzel Ward and Myles Garett puts the Browns D in the best spot its been in recent memory. Considering that they were already a fringe starting-caliber fantasy defense last year (38 sacks, 11 INT's, 10 FUM REC's, 5 BLK KICKS, 3 TD's). they should be able to challenge for at least a top 10 overall spot this year with a group that is pretty much a lock to get more sacks and takeaways. 

Honorable Mentions: Patriots, Broncos, Dolphins

Deep Sleeper: Giants


Friday, August 20, 2021

2020 in Music: Revisited

The quality of the musical output was one of the few highlights of 2020. Digging deeper into a few releases that I missed over the course of this year only further cemented that take. Pennsylvania outfit Tallah solidified themselves as one of the leaders of the nu metal revival movement with their dynamic, monstrous debut Matriphagy, Drain reignited my interest in crossover thrash with California Cursed and Undeath entered a time machine to the early days of death metal with the raw, riffy auditory horror movie that is Lesions of a Different Kind. Here's where these new discoveries along with the other great and not so great LP's and EP's of 2020 currently stand in my book.

()=Ranking on my initial 2020 year-end list

new=Record that I heard after completing my initial 2020 year-end list

EP's: 

14.(13) Horse the Band-Your Fault (C)

13.(12) Incubus-Trust Fall (Side B) (C)

12.(11) Crossfaith-Species (C+)

11.(10) Tove Lo-Bikini Porn (B-)

10.(9) Flatbush Zombies-Now, More than Ever (B)

9.(8) Hayley Williams-Petals for Armor I (B)

8.(new) Pressure Cracks-This is Called Survival (B)

7.(7) Megan Thee Stallion-Suga (B)

6.(6) RMR-Drug Dealing is a Lost Art (B)

5.(5) Alleageon-Concerto in DM  (B+)

4.(4) Inferi-Of Sunless Realms (B+)

3.(3) Kali Uchis-To Feel Alive (A-)

2.(2) System of a Down-Protect the Land/Genocidal Humanoidz (A-) 

1.(1) Every Time I Die-A Colossal Wreck/Desperate Pleasures (A)


LP's:

130.(126) Poppy-I Disagree (D+)

129.(125) Selena Gomez-Rare (D+)

128.(124) BackxWash-God Has Nothing to Do with This Leave Him Out of It (C-)

127.(123) Phoebe Bridgers-Punisher (C-)

126.(122) Kesha-High Road (C-)

125.(121) Charli XCX-How I'm Feeling Now (C-)

124.(120) Chloe x Halle-Ungodly Hour (C)

123.(119) Bedsore-Hypnagogic Hallucinations (C)

122.(118) Kyle-See You When I Am Famous!!!!!!!!!!! (C)

121.(117) The Chicks-Gaslighter (C)

120.(116) Spanish Love Songs-Brave Faces Everyone (C)

119.(115) Lady Gaga-Chromatica (C)

118.(114) Juicy J-The Hustle Continues (C)

117.(113) Trivium-What the Dead Men Say (C)

116.(112) Fiona Apple-Fetch the Bolt Cutters (C)

115.(111) Lianne La Havas-Lianne La Havas (C)

114.(110) Perfume Genius-Set My Heart on Fire Immediately (C)

113.(109) Jeff Rosenstock-No Idea (C)

112.(108) Tennis-Swimmer (C)

111.(106) Suicide Silence-Become the Hunter (C+)

110.(105) Afterbirth-Four Dimensional Flesh (C+)

109.(104) Kehlani-It Was Good Until It Wasn't (C+)

108.(103) $ucideboy$-Stop Staring at the Shadows (C+)

107.(102) Katy Perry-Smile (C+)

106.(101) Purity Ring-Womb (C+)

105.(100) Yukika-Soul Lady (C+)

104.(99) Drake-Dark Lane Demo Tapes (C+)

103.(98) The Fall of Troy-Mukiltearth (C+)

102.(97) Future and Lil Uzi Vert-Pluto x Baby Pluto (C+)

101.(96) Pyrrohn-Abcess Time (B-)

100.(95) Wailin' Storms-Rattle (B-)

99.(94) Westside Gunn-Pray for Paris (B-)

98.(93) Bury Tomorrow-Cannibal (B-)

97.(92) Pop Smoke-Shoot for the Stars, Aim for the Moon (B-)

96.(91) Various Artists-Birds of Prey: The Album (B-)

95.(90) Aversions Crown-Hell Will Comes Us for All (B-)

94.(89) Lil Yachty-Lil Boat 3 (B-)

93.(88) Jessie Ware-What's Your Pleasure? (B-)

92.(87) Lil Uzi Vert-Eternal Atake (B-)

91.(86) Aeternam-Al Qassam (B-)

90.(85) Loathe-I Let It In and It Took Everything (B-)

89.(84) Killer Be Killed-Reluctant Hero (B-)

88.(107) King Gizzard and the Lizard Wizard-K.G. (B-)

87.(82) Invent,Animate-Greyview (B-)

86.(81) Rico Nasty-Nightmare Vacation (B-)

85.(80) Chris Stapleton-Starting Over (B-)

84.(83) Kid Cudi-Man on the Moon III: The Chosen (B-)

83.(79) Joji-Nectar (B-)

82.(78) Body Count-Carnivore (B)

81.(77) Faceless Burial-Speciation (B)

80.(76) 2 Chainz-So Help Me God! (B)

79.(75) Warbringer-Weapons of Tomorrow (B)

78.(74) Greg Puciato-Child Solider: Fortune of God (B)

77.(73) Rotting Out-Ronin (B)

76.(72) Future-High Off Life (B)

75.(71) Sylosis-Cycle of Suffering (B)

74.(70) Plini-Impulse Voices (B)

73.(69) Kodak Black-Bill Israel (B)

72.(new) Viscera-Obsidian (B)

71.(68) Dogleg-Melee (B)

70.(67) Good Tiger-Raised in a Doomsday Cult (B)

69.(66) Finntroll-Vredesvavd

68.(65) The Ocean-Phanerozic II: Mesozoic/Cenozic (B)

67.(64) Hatebreed-Weight of the False Self (B)

66.(63) Oranassi Pazuzu-Mestrain kynsi (B)

65.(62) Umbra Vitae-Shadow of Life (B)

64.(61) Freddie Gibbs & The Alchemist-Alfredo (B)

63.(60) Cytotokin-Nuklearth (B)

62.(59) Testament-Titans of Creation (B)

61.(58) Lil Uzi Vert-Lil Uzi Vs. the World 2 (B)

60.(57) Denzel Curry x Kenny Beats-Unlocked (B)

59.(56) Defeated Sanity-The Sanguinary Impetus (B)

58.(55) Sevdaliza-Shabrang (B)

57.(54) Cryptic Shift-Visitations from Enceladus (B)

56.(53) Young Nudy-Anyways (B)

55.(52) Phoxjaw-Royal Swan (B)

54.(46) Megan Thee Stallion-Good News (B)

53.(51) Taylor Swift-Evermore (B)

52.(50) Carly Rae Jepsen-Dedicated Side B (B)

51.(47) Within the Ruins-Black Heart (B)

50.(45) VoidCeremony-Entropic Reflections Continuum: Dimensional Unravel (B)

49.(44) Intervals-Circadian (B)

48.(43) Touche Amore-Lament (B)

47.(49) Emmure-Hindsight (B)

46.(48) Don Toliver-Heaven or Hell (B)

45.(42) Beneath the Massacre-Fearmonger (B)

44.(40) Make Them Suffer-How to Survive a Funeral (B)

43.(39) Intronaut-Fluid Extensional Inversions (B)

42.(38) The Ghost Inside-The Ghost Inside (B)

41.(37) Action Bronson-Only for Dolphins (B)

40.(36) Lamb of God-Lamb of God (B)

39.(26) Misery Signals-Ultraviolet (B)

38.(new) Undeath-Lesions of a Different Kind (B)

37.(35) Machine Gun Kelly-Tickets to My Downfall (B)

36.(34) Dance Gavin Dance-Afterburner (B)

35.(33) Hayley Williams-Petals for Armor (B)

34.(32) Amine-Limbo (B)

33.(30) Tame Impala-The Slow Rush (B)

32.(31) Victoria Monet-Jaguar (B)

31.(41) Playboi Carti-Whole Lotta Red (B)

30.(29) Idles-Ultra Mono (B)

29.(28) Juice WRLD-Legends Never Die (B)

28.(27) Four Year Strong-Brain Pain (B)

27.(new) Drain-California Cursed (B+)

26.(25) August Burns Red-Guardians (B+)

25.(24) Gunna-WUNNA (B+)

24.(23) Ulcerate-Stare Into Death and Be Still (B+)

23.(22) Protest the Hero-Palimpsest (B+)

22.(15) Ariana Grande-Positions (B+)

21.(20) City Morgue-Toxic Boogaloo (B+)

20.(19) Venom Prison-Primeval (B+)

19.(17) Mac Miller-Circles (B+)

18.(16) Gulch-Impenetrable Cerebral Fortress (B+)

17.(21) Miley Cyrus-Plastic Hearts (B+)

16.(14) Taylor Swift-Folklore (B+)

15.(13) Kali Uchis-Sin mideo (del amor y otros demonios) (B+)

14.(12) Black Crown Initiate-Violent Portraits of Doomed Escape (B+)

13.(18) Yves Tumor-Heaven to a Tortured Mind (B+)

12.(11) Dua Lipa-Future Nostalgia (B+)

11.(10) 21 Savage and Metro Boomin-Savage Mode II (B+)

10.(9) The Black Dahlia Murder-Verminous (B+)

9.(8) END-Splinters from an Ever-Changing Face (B+)

8.(7) Halsey-Manic (B+)

7.(6) Kvelertak-Splid (A-)

6.(4) Deftones-Ohms (A-)

5.(3) Run the Jewels-RTJ4 (A-)

4.(new) Tallah-Matriphagy (A-)

3.(5) Bring Me the Horizon-POST HUMAN: SURVIVAL HORROR (A-)

2.(2) Rina Sawayama-Sawayama (A)

1.(1) The Weeknd-After Hours (A)

Thursday, August 19, 2021

Fantasy Football 2021: Overvalued Players to Avoid

With the 2nd week of NFL Preseason action kicking off in a matter of hours, the carnival of excitement, anxiety, gloating and both valid and invalid second guessing otherwise known as Fantasy Football Draft SZN is now rapidly approaching. This also of course means that I'm obligated to start throwing my two cents in on some hot button issues surrounding the 2021 game, starting today with a list of some players that I believe are overvalued and should be avoided at their current draft position. Here are the guys at every major position that fall into that category this year.

Quarterback: Dak Prescott (Cowboys) (ADP: Yahoo!: 52.7 ESPN: 58.8)

Posting ridiculous yardage totals and a not overly concerning turnover rate in a very good statistical offense that almost always wins the time of possession battle has made Prescott a consistent elite QB1 option over the past few seasons. This established status has also managed to make Prescott exempt from the sizable ADP fall that a player coming back from a major season-ending injury would typically have. The reality is that slotting Prescott into his normal spot in the fantasy hierarchy is illogical and overly optimistic. Not only is the 28 year old coming off said major ankle injury that kept him out of the final 11 games in 2020, he's got a mystery arm/elbow ailment that required an MRI last week and has missed the bulk of the practice reps the team has taken over the past couple of weeks. All the uncertainty around his health ensures that paying the current high price (he's going in the overall QB4-7 range) would arguably be the single most reckless move you could possibly make on draft night.  

Honorable Mentions: Matthew Stafford (Rams), Joe Burrow (Bengals), Ryan Fitzpatrick (Football Team)

Running Back: Austin Ekeler (Chargers) (ADP: Yahoo!: 17.3 ESPN: 14.8)

The Austin Ekeler mid-to-low level RB1 hype train continues to puzzle me greatly. I get that his pass-catching makes him a real asset in PPR leagues and he'll likely be better this year than he was during his injury-shortened 2020, but are the extra 0.5 to 1 points he picks up with every catch really enough to justify the investment of such a high draft pick? He continues to only get moderate volume in the running game (he averaged just 11.6 carries per game last year), has a very murky TD floor (outside of his 11 scores in 2019, he's only posted 9 career TD's over his other 3 NFL seasons including a paltry 3 in 10 games last season) and might not even be the uncontested starter at RB as Joshua Kelley and Josh Jackson are still lingering around to constantly threaten his workload on the ground. I'm not particularly high on any of the backs that are going in the early to middle portions of the 2nd save for Antonio Gibson, but if my hand was forced and Gibson or none of the top WR's (DeAndre Hopkins, A.J. Brown, Justin Jefferson) going in that range were available, I'd be comfortable taking any of them (Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Joe Mixon, even Najee Harris-whose unsettled o-line scares the hell out of me) over Ekeler.   

Honorable Mentions: Najee Harris (Steelers), D'Andre Swift (Lions), Myles Gaskin (Dolphins)

Wide Receiver: CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys) (ADP: Yahoo!: 36.7 ESPN: 36.3 )

If Prescott was healthy, Lamb would probably be my choice for a 2021 breakout candidate at WR. He sincerely has one of the most versatile and well-rounded games of any wideout that's come into the league in recent years and in the right situation, he could conceivably be among the league leaders in receptions, YDS and TD's. The problem is that there's a very real possibility that either Garrett Gilbert, Ben DiNiucci or Cooper Rush is going to be under center for an extended period of time this year and if that ends up being the case, Lamb will once again be relegated to the WR4 dip-and-dunk possession receiver status he was at after Prescott went down last season.  

Honorable Mentions: Amari Cooper (Cowboys), Julio Jones (Titans), Diontae Johnson (Steelers)

Tight End: Kyle Pitts (Falcons) (ADP: Yahoo!: 50.6 ESPN: 54.9)

Nothing shines a light on how the horrible depth at the tight end position quite like the comical overdrafting of a rookie tight end. For comparisons sake, the ADP of the top rookie receiver (Ja'Marr Chase) is roughly 30 spots lower than where Pitts is going. That's just silly. Don't get me wrong: Pitts has ridiculous intangibles and a very realistic chance to be productive right away in a Falcons offense that likes to air it out and is looking for a 2nd option to emerge alongside Calvin Ridley following the departure of Julio Jones, but taking him in the 5th round when there's zero guarantees on what his role or how smooth his pro transition will be is not a dice roll worth making at a position that's not overly important in the grand scheme of fantasy football.     

Honorable Mentions: Tyler Higbee (Rams), Logan Thomas (Football Team), Adam Trautman (Saints)

Defense/Special Teams: 49ers (ADP: Yahoo!: 94.1 ESPN: 124.0)

Even if Nick Bosa can stay healthy and return to his dominant 2019 form, the presence of a new DC in DeMeco Ryans, a questionable corner group that's headed up by the oft-injured Jason Verrett and below average takeaway rate last year (20, which ranked 21st in the league ) puts the 49ers on much shakier ground than their peers at the top of the fantasy defense board (Rams, Ravens, Football Team, Steelers). 

Honorable Mentions: Chiefs, Chargers, Bills 

Wednesday, August 18, 2021

2021 NFL Preview: AFC South

Houston Texans

2020 Record: 4-12 (3rd in AFC South)

Head Coach: David Culley (1st season) 

Notable Additions: RB Mark Ingram, QB Tyrod Taylor, OLB Shaq Lawson

Notable Departures: DE J.J. Watt, ILB Benardrick McKinney, WR Will Fuller

Biggest Reason for Excitement: Nothing

What reasons do Texans fans have to get excited about this season? The respectable secondary? The fact that Zach Cunningham, Laremy Tunsil and Brandin Cooks all decided to stick around while the Titanic was sinking? The unexpected luxury of actually having a 1st round pick in 2022? This trio of small victories are about the only nice things that can be said about the Texans right now.

Their franchise quarterback Deshaun Watson is now an alleged serial sexual predator who might not ever play another down in the NFL, new head coach David Culley seems to have been hired because he was the only guy they interviewed that was willing to come work for the Texans without forcing a huge shakeup in the front office and the team is still being run by the tyrannical dope Jack Easterby-whose job is seemingly safe as long as Cal McNair is the owner. These are the type of hurdles that just can't be overcome in the short term no matter how hard you try. 

Biggest Question Mark: Everything

There's not one position group outside of the aforementioned secondary that can be viewed as even adequate overall and the coaching staff from career faceless assistant Culley to lone remaining Bill O'Brien employee Tim Kelly to a seemingly past his prime Lovie Smith -who is returning to the NFL for the first time since 2015 with his head hung very low after a brutal stint (17-39 in 5 seasons) in the college ranks as the head coach of the University of Illinois-is battling it out with their peers over in Jacksonville for the title of the most uninspiring group in the league. Given their stunningly poor personnel, it'll be a constant battle for this team to avoid going 0-18 and I'm not remotely certain that they'll be successful in their pursuit of not entering the saddest section of the NFL history books.  

Key to Reaching to Their Ceiling: Every Other Team in the League Dropping Dead

It's the only way this team of retreads, rejects and otherwise questionable talent can win.  

Bottom Line:

They're doomed. Anything above a 2 win season should be considered a monumental accomplishment that puts David Culley in the Coach of the Year conversation.

Indianapolis Colts

2020 Record: 11-5 (2nd in AFC South)

Head Coach: Frank Reich (4th season)

Notable Additions: QB Carson Wentz, T Eric Fisher, K Eddy Pineiro

Notable Departures: T Anthony Costanzo (retired), QB Phillip Rivers (retired), DE Justin Houston

Biggest Reason for Excitement: Widespread Continuity 

If not for the retirement of Anthony Costanzo and Phillip Rivers during the offseason, the Colts would be entering 2021 with the rare distinction of having every single one of their starters at least be a member of the team in 2020. Even with their departures, Carson Wentz, Eric Fisher-who will slot in at LT after he finishes rehabbing the torn Achilles he suffered in January's AFC Championship Game and rookie defensive end Kwity Paye are the only new faces that figure to slot into prime roles for the Colts this season. Chris Ballard has been waiting for to establish this type of stable corps on both sides of the ball (Quenton Nelson, DeForest Buckner, Darius Leonard, Kenny Moore, Braden Smith, Ryan Kelly, Jonathan Taylor, Mark Glowinski, Khari Willis, Bobby Okreke) since he took over the GM role in 2016 and to do it mostly through the draft, which subsequently allows them to keep their cap flexibility so they can afford to keep the bulk of these players, is a huge deal for a team that was in a deep hole prior to his arrival (s/o Ryan Grigson's horrible drafting and gift for overpaying in free agency).

Biggest Question Mark: Carson Wentz and the QB Situation Overall

Coming into 2021, there was already a huge dice roll factor surrounding Carson Wentz. He was a jittery disaster for the Eagles in 2020 that eventually got benched for Jalen Hurts and his extensive injury history is well-documented. Those concerns about Wentz were validated very early on during his Colts tenure after he broke a bone in his foot on the 2nd day of training camp and was forced to get surgery that will keep him until at least the regular season opener next month, if not longer. 

Even if the best case scenario plays out and Wentz is under center for Week 1, his extended absence from practice is depriving him of the valuable opportunity to further build a rapport with his new WR's and get reacclimated with Frank Reich's offense. If Wentz does end up missing regular season time, the Colts have the nightmare scenario of having to turn to either Jacob Eason, rookie Sam Ehlinger or Brett Hundley to be their starting QB. 

To put it lightly, none of these options are appealing. Eason is just one of many big arm, no polish QB prospects that are currently wasting space on NFL depth charts, Ehlinger is a small (6'1, 228 lbs), inaccurate passer (career completion percentage of just 62.7% against mostly poor Big 12 defenses) whose leadership/wealth of starting experience in a major conference is the only reason somebody decided to take a chance on him with a late round pick and while Hundley has the advantage of being the only fill-in starter candidate here with real NFL game reps (17 game appearances, 9 career starts back in 2017 with the Packers), he just signed with the team in late July and has played pretty terrible in every regular season game he's appeared in (his career stats are 1,902 YDS /9 TD/13 INT/58.9 CMP%). 

The sad reality is that unlike last season where they had an old, but still reasonably effective Phillip Rivers leading the way, the Colts aren't going to be able avoid having a huge storm cloud looming over the QB spot at any point this season.   

Key to Reaching Their Ceiling: Carson Wentz Returning from Injury and Getting His Mojo Back

Sorry Eason, Ehlinger and Hundley, this team isn't going to peak with any of you guys under center. Ballard decided to take a gamble on Wentz because of how special he was when Reich was still with the Eagles. Nick Foles leading the team to a Super Bowl victory paired with his stunning fall from grace over the past couple of years have managed to erase much of the impact Wentz made in 2017. He played the game like a young Ben Roethlisberger: standing tall in the pocket, taking shots downfield, occasionally catching defenses by surprise by breaking off a long run and being unafraid to take serious licks from the opposing front 7. That combination of grit and making big plays made him the perfect QB for the Eagles as well  as the clear frontrunner for MVP until he went down with a torn ACL in a Week 14 victory over the Rams. There's been some highlights here and there for Wentz (a 69.6 CMP% in 2018, a career best 27 TD/7 INT split in 16 games during 2019) since he returned from that injury, but the electric highs of his 2017 campaign just haven't been replicated since.

Expecting Wentz to seamlessly return to his 2017 form upon reuniting with Reich would clearly be an unrealistic and borderline insane expectation. It is however, completely reasonable to expect better things from Wentz that what we saw during his final years in Philly. The longer Doug Pederson was left to his own devices from 2018-20, the more it became clear that Reich was the top offensive mind in that building during their Super Bowl run. Returning to Reich's system could not only restore the confidence he lost in 2020, but make better use of his physical gunslinger skill set than Peterson did. Hell, even if he gets back to the slightly more conservative style he ran in 2019, the Colts should be more or less what they were as a passing offense in 2020 with Rivers -except possibly a little better now that flashy young guys like Michael Pittman Jr., Mo-Allie Cox and maybe even the oft-injured Parris Campbell are in line to get more reps. 

Being the signalcaller on a run-driven team with a great offensive line and his old coach is the best potential comeback scenario Wentz could ask for. Now it's up to him to bounce back from this injury setback, seize the opportunity and become the franchise QB for the Colts that he ultimately failed to be for the Eagles.  

Bottom Line:

This is a good, well-coached team whose QB situation will dictate whether they return to the playoffs for the 2nd straight year or revert back to their middling 2019 form.

Jacksonville Jaguars

2020 Record: 1-15 (4th in AFC South)

Head Coach: Urban Meyer (1st season)

Notable Additions: CB Shaq Griffin, WR Marvin Jones Jr., DT Roy Robertson-Harris

Notable Departures: WR Keelan Cole, TE Tyler Eifert, DT Al Woods

Biggest Reason for Excitement: Trevor Lawrence

Outside of that brief stretch during the 2019 season where Gardner Minshew captured the hearts and mullets of Duval County, the Jaguars quarterback situation has been very bleak in recent years. Blake Bortles just couldn't quite put it together, Minshew regressed pretty significantly during his injury-hampered sophomore season and the Mike Glennon/Jake Luton timeshare that largely fueled their 15 game losing streak to close out 2020 featured some of the most embarrassingly inept play the league has seen at the quarterback position since the Cardinals trotted out the Ryan Lindley/John Skelton/Brian Hoyer misery platoon for the final 10 games of the 2012 season (Kevin Kolb was never missed more at at any point in his career).

All of the suffering that came from the blatant tank job the Jags pulled last year was for a reason: To land Trevor Lawrence with the 1st pick in the 2021 draft. They officially got to see their not so subtle plan through after clinching the league's worst record last December and Lawrence decided to forgo his final season of college eligibility in early January. 

Lawrence has been touted as the next generational NFL QB prospect since he won the National Championship during his true freshman season at Clemson back in 2018 and at the bare minimum, he should give the Jags the 1st reliable starting quarterback they've had since David Garrard. Lawrence is kind of an interesting hybrid between an old school pocket passer and the new wave of rushing QB's as he has displayed an ability to accurately throw darts downfield as well pick up huge gains with his legs when called upon. That refined skill set along with the amount of big game experience he picked up at Clemson separated him from the rest of this year's extremely high upside QB class and immediately gives Jags fans something to look forward to-even in a 2021 season that is not likely to feature a lot of winning as they launch yet another rebuilding effort.    

Biggest Question Mark:  Urban Meyer

Before the questionable ethics and logic behind the hiring of Urban Meyer are explored, it needs to be pointed out that the man hasn't been on a sideline in 3 years after he resigned from Ohio State due to "health reasons". 

Obviously Meyer's word can't be trusted since he's been involved in no shortage of scandals during his career including initially hiring the embattled Chris Doyle-who was ousted from Iowa ahead of the 2020 season after dozens of ex-players spoke out against the racism and bullying they endured from him during their time there-to be the Jags strength and conditioning coach (Doyle "stepped down" a couple days after Meyer publicly defended his hiring), but let's entertain the possibility that he's telling the truth for once. 

Coaching is an exceptionally strenuous gig and a few years away from the daily grind isn't going to magically change that. What if Meyer makes into October or November then decides to resign because of fatigue? Or god forbid has a Gary Kubiak-type situation pop up where something awful happens him to medically during a game or practice? Leaving a young Jaguars team to learn another new system in short order because their coach downplayed his health problems in pursuit of another huge payday and ownership was desperate to make a splashy hiring after Doug Marrone would be a pretty big stain on the otherwise pretty good track record of Shad Khan.

Then there's the absolutely hilarious moral quandaries of bringing in a dirtbag like Meyer to run a team in the first place. This is a guy who routinely recruited guys with domestic violence, sexual assault, and other violent/predatory crime charges on their records during his time in the college ranks and gladly looked the other way during a spousal abuse investigation surrounding his wide receivers coach Zach Smith at Ohio State in 2018. The Doyle situation only further proved that this guy cares more about protecting his friends and giving an opportunity to any piece of garbage that can play football well over building a real locker room culture. That bullshit can work in college where the roster significantly changes on a year-to-year basis, but the NFL doesn't have that kind of turnover and cultivating a toxic environment from the very top is a recipe for creating a ticking time bomb that is bound to explode all over the place sooner or later.

However, the biggest mystery surrounding Meyer is his NFL pedigree. The 57-year old never stood on a professional sideline until Saturday night's preseason game. To provide some context to how rare this is, Kliff Kingsbury and Chip Kelly are the only other former college HC's since 2002 (Steve Spurrier) that got their gigs without any prior NFL coaching experience.  

As much as Meyer's ego has been stroked after winning so much in college, he has to deal with some harsh new realities now that he's heading into the pros for the 1st time. This is a man who hasn't really had to coach since he left the University of Utah in 2004. His reputation allowed some of the nation's best players to come to him during the recruiting process every single year he was at Florida and Ohio State and when you have a steady pipeline of blue chip talent pouring into your program, winning is bound to follow. This practice of at least 75% of the best recruits going to the top handful of programs (right now that would be Alabama, Ohio State, LSU, Oklahoma and Clemson) is why college football is such a fucking sham and almost none of the head coaches that leave the friendly confines of the minor leagues achieve any meaningful degree of success in the NFL. 

Being successful at the NFL level requires good scheming, roster-building and being able to overcome adversity more often than not when it shows up. Steve Spurrier failed to do this. Dennis Erickson failed to do this. Nick F'n Saban failed to do this. It's going to be a little bit before we learn if Meyer is going join this group of great college coaches that faceplanted in the pros or become the next Pete Carroll or Jim Harbaugh that won at both levels, but based on his largely entitlement-driven run in college football, time away from the game and the parade of maligned individuals he hired to be on his staff (Brian Schottenheimer, Darrell Bevell, Charlie Strong, Bob Sutton), I'm strongly leaning towards it being the former. 

Key to Reaching Their Ceiling: Trevor Lawrence Putting The Team on His Back in Year 1

Combing over the 2021 Jaguars on paper doesn't evoke a lot of optimism about their 2021 fate. Their longtime center Brandon Linder is easily their most talented player, looking at the defensive depth chart outside of starting inside linebacker duo Myles Jack and Joe Schobert and new top corner Shaq Griffin is likely to inspire a whole lot of audible confusion from anyone outside of the most tapped in football diehards and as I just outlined, Meyer has never coached in the NFL before.

All the way back in 2012 up in Indianapolis there was a similar widespread casting of doubt upon a football team with a rookie quarterback and 1st year head coach. That Colts team went onto to overcome their general lack of talent (especially on the defensive side of the ball) to make the playoffs behind Andrew Luck's strong play and the emotional boost provided by Chuck Pagano's in-season cancer diagnosis and eventual remission. Things didn't go well at all once they got there as the eventual Super Bowl Champion Ravens kicked their teeth in and in recent years, analytics people have often cited their 11-5 finish as an anomaly that should've never happened, but they still greatly overachieved and nobody can take that away from him.

In order for the Jags to expedite their rebuild, Lawrence is going to have to do something similar this year. Now, Lawrence is already at a huge disadvantage because he isn't fortunate enough to have an offensive wizard in Bruce Arians serving as his offensive coordinator like Luck did. In fact, he has the exact opposite as he's stuck with the Darrell Bevell/Brian Schottenheimer duo that is so poor at their jobs that they've even managed to limit the effectiveness of the great Russell Wilson at times.

What Lawrence does have going for him is a decent group of skill position players to work with. James Robinson was the lone standout on the Jags offense (1,414 scrimmage YDS and 10 total TD's on 289 touches) last season, the receiving corps is full of guys (D.J. Chark, Marvin Jones Jr., Laviska Shenault Jr.) that can go up and grab the ball in redzone/contested catch situations as well as make plays with the ball in their hands and the built-in familiarity of having his college teammate Travis Etienne should provide Lawrence with the ultimate safety valve as he attempts to acclimate to the pro game. Add an offensive line (Linder, Cam Robinson, A.J. Cann, Andrew Norwell, Jawaan Taylor) that's far from a strength, but not bad enough to complete impede on the ability to make plays and there's some real potential for this offense to do some damage.

Ultimately, the success or failure of this lofty goal is going to come down to how quickly Lawrence picks up the pro game. His 1st preseason appearance was the kind of up-and-down experience most rookies put together with a big time downfield throw to Jones Jr. showing off his potential as a passer while his tendency to hold onto the ball for too long and a couple of errant throws/boneheaded decisions that almost led to turnovers demonstrated that he's still a young player that has big holes in his game. Watching how he adjusts in the next 2 games before teams start to really scheme against him during the regular season could serve as an early indicator of the type of mental acuity and work ethic Lawrence really has, which will naturally go a long way in setting realistic expectations for what he'll be able to accomplish in 2021. The expectations for Lawrence are justifiably high and if he can deliver positive results sooner than later, the hype train surrounding him is going to get a whole lot bigger.    

Bottom Line:

This is a rebuilding team with a 1st NFL time head coach. The bar is low and even if they clear it, they'll still more than likely be saddled with a high draft pick in 2022.

Tennessee Titans

2020 Record: 11-5 (2nd in AFC South)

Head Coach: Mike Vrabel (4th season)

Notable Additions: WR Julio Jones, OLB Bud Dupree, CB Janoris Jenkins

Notable Departures: CB Malcolm Butler, DE Jadeveon Clowney, TE Jonnu Smith

Biggest Reason for Excitement: Adding Julio Jones

When Julio Jones officially hit the trade block in late May, the Titans never felt like a real contender to land him. While they had a vacant starting spot following the departure of Corey Davis in free agency, bringing in another top receiver to pair with their rising star #1 wideout A.J. Brown didn't feel like the type of move a team with the most run-dominant offense in the league would make. Alas, early June comes around and the list of teams interested in Jones shrinks due to his huge salary hit ($15.3 mil this season) and the Titans end up making a deal with the Falcons in short order.

Obviously acquiring Jones comes with some huge risks. He's 32 years old, has battled his injuries throughout his career (including at this very moment, as he's been sidelined from practice since August 2nd after suffering an undisclosed lower body injury) and only appeared in 9 games last season due to a lingering hamstring injury. Even with all those concerns and the very real possibility that his best days are behind him after seemingly cheating the regression train for so long by constantly producing big numbers while battling through nagging foot/ankle/knee ailments, adding Julio Jones is a big deal. This is a game-breaking, future Hall of Famer that catches passes and racks up big yardage with stunning consistency. Putting that type of explosive player next to Brown gives the Titans a chance to really beef up their vertical attack and add some much need dynamism and unpredictability to their offense in the process.     

Biggest Question Mark: What The Offense Will Look Like Without Arthur Smith as OC

Mike Vrabel deserves plenty of credit for turning this Titans operation around. He's been a much better X and O's coaches than anticipated and the mental toughness he's instilled in this team has given them a special kind of edge that makes them really difficult to beat. Equally important, but not nearly as praised for his work in turning the Titans from perennial middler to a legit AFC powerhouse has been Arthur Smith. 

Smith's system unleashed Derrick Henry as a full blown workhorse back  after he was mostly used as a change-of-pace option during Matt LaFluer and (especially) Terry Robisike's tenures as OC and was able to unlock the long untapped potential of Ryan Tannehill by running a play action and bootleg-driven system that showcased his strengths as a passer. For his impressive efforts, Smith was unsurprisingly plucked from his post to become the new HC for the Falcons after overseeing the 4th ranked scoring offense in the league last year and allowing Henry to become only the 8th 2,000 YD rusher in NFL history.

The next man up at OC for the Titans is Todd Downing, who ironically also replaced Smith as tight ends coach after he got promoted to OC following LaFluer's departure to Green Bay in 2019. Downing only has 1 previous season of OC experience under his belt and since it was with the 2017 Raiders who went 6-10, it didn't exactly go great, as that group finished 23rd in scoring offense, 16th in passing YDS and 25th in rushing YDS. 

What should be of greater interest to Titans fans though is the playcalling Downing utilized. That Raiders team had the 3rd fewest rushing attempts in the league while they ranked 15th in passing attempts. While having a 31-year old, freshly unretired Marshawn Lynch as the lead back certainly contributed to Downing's reluctance to run the ball, it's not out of the realm of possibility that Downing takes the Titans away from being a run-dominant team. Henry is going to be 28 in January and is entering year 2 of a big money 4 year deal, so it's very possible that the team will start to rely on him a little bit less moving forward in order to maximize their return on investment. It would also make sense that the additions of Jones and ex-Rams #3/#4 option Josh Reynolds alongside Brown would give the team the confidence they needed to air it out more. Clearly the Titans aren't going to want to shake things up too much considering Tannehill's history of being inconsistent outside of the play action bootleg game, but it's going to be interesting to see if Downing puts his own spin on things or simply copies what Smith did.   

Key to Reaching Their Ceiling: Establishing a Pass Rush

The Titans inability to generate a pass rush over the past few years has really killed any chance their defenses had to become great. This was particularly problematic last season as they generated horrendous metrics (19 sacks, 119 total pressures and a total sack percentage of 2.9%, which ranked 30th, 28th and 32nd in the league respectively) that also managed to further exploit their problems on the back end-as they allowed the 4th most passing YDS (4439 or 277.4 per game) and 2nd most passing TD's (36) in the league.

Jon Robinson responded to these deeply crippling problems by throwing every possible asset they could into getting edge rushers this offseason. Headlining the Titans new wave of pass rushers is Bud Dupree. Dupree has been terrific over the past couple of seasons with the Steelers (19.5 sacks in 27 games played), but admittedly is a huge risk given that he just tore his ACL last November and has failed to make a ton of noise without an elite talent like T.J. Watt playing alongside him (he only posted 20 sacks in his 1st 4 NFL seasons). Unless Harold Landry, who logged a team-high 5.5 sacks last season, makes a substantial leap in year 4, that's not a luxury he'll have in Nashville.

Reinforcing Dupree as part of the new rotation of secondary pass rushers will be journeyman vets Denico Autry and John Simon and rookie Rashad Weaver. Autry and Simon both struggle with consistency (Autry has logged 30.5 sacks over 7 NFL seasons, Simon has 20 over 8), but can make enough plays to carve out regular spots in a rotation while Weaver flashed a lot of power, some hand fighting prowess and pretty good technique during his final year at Pitt, and could prove to be a terrific value as a 4th round selection. Regardless of where it comes from, this group is going to need to generate pressure in order to unburden their secondary-which is going to need all the help they can get as they look to integrate 4 new full time starters into the fold (Janoris Jenkins, Kristian Fulton, Amani Hooker, rookie Caleb Farley-who was a 2020 opt-out that also happens to be recovering from back surgery) and significantly bolster their odds of breaking out of the AFC.

Bottom Line:

Unless Carson Wentz or whoever ends up playing QB for the Colts plays extremely well, the Titans' huge advantage in the overall talent department should be enough to guide them to their 2nd straight division title. 

Projected Standings:

1.Tennessee Titans (12-5)

2.Indianapolis Colts (7-10)

3.Jacksonville Jaguars (3-14)

1.Houston Texans (1-16)