Houston Texans
2022 Record: 3-13-1 (4th in AFC South)
Head Coach: DeMeco Ryans (1st season)
Notable Additions: G Shaq Mason, S Jimmie Ward, TE Dalton Schultz
Notable Departures: WR Brandin Cooks, DE Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, TE Jordan Akins
Biggest Reason for Excitement: The Potential for Some Stability
What transpired in Houston over the past 2 seasons was some of the most ridiculous shit any NFL team has pulled in recent memory. Due to a lack of draft picks, the exit of Deshaun Watson and the dysfunction at the top of their organization with owner Cal McNair and his (now former) liaison Jack Easterby, the Texans effectively just threw a team together with no intention of winning in back-to-back seasons. The collateral damage from this strategy were the two sacrificial lambs they had serve as head coaches for this unserious operation in David Culley and Lovie Smith-who got sweet revenge for the unfair treatment both he and his former boss Culley received when he led the team to a hilariously improbable comeback win over the Colts in his final game as coach that end up costing the Texans the #1 pick in the 2023 Draft.
This bizarre, morally questionable transitional era in Texans football came to a close this offseason when they suddenly started taking their rebuilding efforts seriously. This philosophical shift became apparent the very moment they announced they'd hired DeMeco Ryans to be their new coach in January. While they admittedly had a huge built-in advantage over the rest of the field given Ryans' lengthy history with the team as a player, landing a young coach who swiftly rose through the ranks with the 49ers and was one of the most impactful assistant coaches in the league over his 2 seasons as a DC is a huge plus for an organization that has long been viewed as a horrible place to coach and play.
Ryans' hiring made an immediate impact on the type of players that were willing to come to Houston. Through a combination of trades and free agency, veterans Shaq Mason, Dalton Schultz, Sheldon Rankins, Shaq Griffin and Jimmie Ward-who played under Ryans with the 49ers- all made their way to the Texans. On top of that, left tackle Laremy Tunsil-who notably was the only vet from the previous regime who decided to stick around through all of the turmoil they've experienced in recent years-committed to the organization long-term by inking a 3-year extension in March that will keep him in Houston through the 2026 season. This sizable infusion of veteran talent is something that the Texans haven't had since at least 2019, if not 2018 and both the locker room and on-field product should really benefit because of it.
Ultimately, the top sign that the Texans were done dicking around came on draft night. GM Nick Caserio and his cohorts had not worked the board with so much purpose, aggression and clarity in there previous 2 years on the job. They finally committed to a new prospective franchise quarterback with the selection of C.J. Stroud at #2 overall and used the 1st round pick they earned from the Browns in exchange for their previous franchise QB to trade up to #3 and select the top defensive player on the board in DE Will Anderson. That's the kind of 1st round haul that has the other 31 GM's shaking their fists in disgust and crossing their fingers that these kids don't end up being as good as advertised.
Following the big splash he made in the 1st round, Caserio went more practical in the later rounds with equally intriguing results. Juice Scruggs is a strong, athletic center who is an ideal fit for the new zone-blocking, play action-driven offense OC Bobby Slowik brought over with him from the 49ers, WR Tank Dell is a route-running technician with remarkable shiftiness in the open field who could prove to be a huge impact player in the slot if his small stature (5'8, 165 lbs) doesn't prove to be an issue in his transition to the pros and Dylan Horton is a big, powerful defensive end with violent hands that will have a chance to contribute as a situational pass-rusher right away.
Regardless of how this all shakes out, watching a real attempt to lay down the foundation for a proper rebuilding effort is an encouraging sight to see from a team whose commitment to winning has been really shaky of late.
Biggest Reason for Concern: Nothing
Any negative outcomes are impossible for the Texans to achieve this season. After the last 2 seasons where they fielded a JV team that just didn't have what it takes to win games despite their often valiant efforts, watching a team led by legit young players and a coaching staff that will actually be here for multiple seasons will be an extremely welcome sight. There's no guarantee it's going to be pretty, but the feasible prospect of those growing pains leading to something good will be all the fuel the Texans need to take the paper bags off their heads and feel something they haven't felt watching a game since 2019: A sense of purpose.
Key to Reaching Their Ceiling: Play of Their Young Players
The most exciting and problematic part of the 2023 Texans is the high volume of young players they have starting. Having so many rookies and 2nd year players in high-leverage roles doesn't tend to lead a ton of wins right away, but there have been some classic exceptions like the 2021 Bengals, 2012 Seahawks and 2012 Colts that have gone to the playoffs while having a very young corps drive the bus. Even if the 2023 Texans aren't able to reach those lofty heights, Stroud, Anderson, Scruggs, Derek Stingley Jr., Jalen Pitre, Dameon Pierce and Kenyon Green hold the key to this team's fate this season.
Nearly every corner of the team with the possible exception of run defense will be significantly dictated by what they're able to do. Stroud has to adjust to the professional game with a receiver group that doesn't have a true #1 in its ranks and an offensive line that doesn't have any proven pieces on it outside of Tunsil and Mason after having the luxury of playing exclusively with loaded squads at Ohio State. Stingley Jr, Pitre and Green are going to move past their rough rookie seasons (particularly Green who graded out as the worst guard in the football in 2022) and adapt to a new system. Anderson has a bit of an easier path to contributing right away since the Texans do have some established talent on the defensive line with Jerry Hughes, Jonathan Greenard, Maliek Collins, and Rankins, but they'll be a lot of pressure to emerge as the new leader up there in short order given his college pedigree and high draft position. This coaching staff that Ryans brought over with him (Slowik, Matt Burke, Chris Strausser, Shane Day, Cory Undlin) have accomplished some great things in their previous stops around the league and if there are as good as advertised, they'll unlock some positive things this year that'll have these young players ready to lead this Texans team moving forward.
Bottom Line:
It'll likely be another rough year for the Texans as they begin their commitment to rebuilding. However, they are least finally trying to win again-which will make this season considerably less painful than the past 3 where that wasn't the case.
Indianapolis Colts
2022 Record: 4-12-1 (3rd in AFC South)
Head Coach: Shane Steichen (1st season)
Notable Additions: K Matt Gay, DE Samson Ebukam, QB Gardner Minshew
Notable Departures: OLB Bobby Okereke, CB Stephon Gilmore, QB Matt Ryan
Biggest Reason for Excitement: Jim Irsay and Chris Ballard Finally Overcame Their Addiction to Bringing in Veteran Quarterbacks Who Only Lasted 1 Season in Indy and Drafted A Potential Franchise QB
The Colts have yet to recover from Andrew Luck's sudden retirement right before the start of the regular season in 2019. After having no choice but to movie forward with expected backup Jacoby Brissett that year, the Colts chose to embrace a strategy of chasing after a different veteran quarterback each season. In 2020, it worked just fine for them as Phillip Rivers was respectable enough in his final NFL season to lead them to an 11-5 season that ended in a narrow loss to the Bills on Wild Card Weekend. 2021 was a little bit sketchier as the Colts tried to have Frank Reich successfully revive the career of his old friend Carson Wentz in the same system that made him a borderline MVP candidate with the Eagles in 2017 and honestly, it was going alright until Wentz' awful play caused them to drop the final 2 games of the season and narrowly miss the playoffs.
Wentz's bad finish in 2021 was small potatoes compared to what his replacement Matt Ryan did in 2022. The 2016 NFL MVP looked like he had aged about 20 years between the end of 2021 and the start of 2022 as he had a season defined by questionable decisionmaking, even more questionable arm strength, taking sacks that looked like they might kill him and getting benched on two separate occasions for Sam Ehlinger and Nick Foles. While he's yet to officially retire from the league, saying that Ryan has played his last snap in the NFL seems like a pretty safe bet after the bleak horrors that transpired last year.
Watching Ryan completely flounder out there last season marked the point where this approach to handling the QB position had to be abandoned completely. I'm sure this was a difficult concession for Jim Irsay and Chris Ballard to make as they clearly loved doing it so much and while they had to've kicked around the idea of signing Cam Newton or trying to convince Ryan Fitzpatrick to come out of retirement before deciding to pursue a QB in the draft, they made the right decision by using their heads over their hearts.
As expected since they were picking behind both the Panthers and Texans, the Colts ended up with the most popular pick for the draft's #3 QB in league circles: Anthony Richardson. What Richardson lacks in polish and experience as a 1-year starter in a run-heavy offense at the University of Florida, he makes up for with one of the most astounding athletic profiles the league has ever seen at the position. At 6'4, 255 lbs with 4.4 speed, he has the explosive burst of Lamar Jackson in the rushing game in the frame of Cam Newton and while he struggled with accuracy in a big way in college-completing just 53.8% of his passes during 2022-his arm strength and ability to get the ball out at a variety of unusual angles is top-notch. Since Richardson has already been named the starter over veteran free agent signing Gardner Minshew after a couple weeks of training camp, the team clearly has confidence in his ability to contribute right away. At the bare minimum, Richardson will provide some splash plays that alluded this team in a big way during their nightmarish 2022 season and get some much-needed reps as he tries to refine his incredible physical tools into a well-rounded game.
Biggest Reason for Concern: The Jonathan Taylor Situation
This offseason saw a long-brewing crisis in the NFL finally reach its boiling point: Nobody wants to ink running backs to long-term, big money deals anymore. The poor substantial investments that have been made in the likes of Todd Gurley, Ezekiel Elliott and Alvin Kamara in recent years has launched a new wave of caution among teams who are negotiating with star backs, which has reset the market in a huge way.
Franchise tag recipients Tony Pollard and Saquon Barkley failed to land long-term deals from their respective teams. Dalvin Cook and Elliott himself sat on the unemployment for months before signing 1-year deals with the Jets and Patriots on Monday. There are some respected vets out there such as Leonard Fournette and Kareem Hunt are still looking for work. Derrick Henry was floated out in trades, but there were no takers since a longtime workhorse back whose owed $10.5 mil this season, will turn 30 in January and is set to enter free agency next March is not worth giving up any important draft picks for. Miles Sanders earned the top multi-year deal among veteran free agents this offseason and his contract has a max value of just $25.4 mil over 4 years.
Naturally, RB's have felt compelled to chirp about their rate of pay and general treatment in the league after watching the events of the past several months transpire. Chief among the aggravated RB's is Jonathan Taylor. This isn't particularly surprising as Taylor is entering the final year of his rookie deal this season and as the 2021 rushing champion who has served as a vital part of the Colts offense since the moment he entered the league in 2020, stands to be among the highest paid RB's in the league.
Taylor eventually took these concerns to Irsay when he broached the topic of an extension. This is when all hell started to break loose. Basically, Taylor wasn't happy with how his talk with Irsay went and requested a trade from the Colts. Irsay then publicly responded to Taylor by saying he won't be traded under any circumstances this season. Taylor retaliated by sitting out of practice for the past couple weeks with a "back injury" and just yesterday, left the team to tend to a "personal matter" and will be back to "rehab" shortly.
Taylor's status will be something to closely monitor moving forward. If the Colts are adamant about not trading him and Taylor is pissed about this decision, it won't be advantageous for him to half-ass his play since he's coming off a comparatively bad 2022 campaign (861 Rushing YDS and 4 TD's on 192 carries in 11 games) where he suffered a season-ending ankle injury and struggled to produce due to a combination of choppy offensive line play, a non-existent passing attack and having to face stacked boxes on nearly every play. However, he could chose to sit out once the season starts or at least, not feel compelled to finish runs the way he did during his All-Pro campaign in 2021. Given Richardson's rawness and the lack of insurance behind him now that Zack Moss is out indefinitely with a broken arm, the Colts offense can not afford to be without an engaged, healthy Taylor this season.
Key to Reaching Their Ceiling: Shane Steichen Bringing the Offensive Fireworks He Produced in Philly to Indy
In a bit of a break from the recent mold, this head coaching cycle wasn't a great one for up-and-coming offensive wizkids. This is likely just a fluke as DeMeco Ryans marked the rare instance of a defensive coach being the most sought-after coordinator candidate and the presence of successful established coaches in Sean Payton and Frank Reich in the field. The lone new hire that fell under that under the new offensive hotshot umbrella is Shane Steichen and there's a damn good reason for it, he did an incredible job running the Eagles offense over the 2 years. What he did to supercharge Jalen Hurts' development as both a rusher and passer and turn an offense that was tail-spinning at the end of Doug Pederson's tenure into the one of the league's most explosive, efficient units was nothing short of staggering.
Especially now we know that Richardson is going to be running the offense, Steichen feels like the ideal hire. While he won't be working with the staggering amount of weaponry and top-notch offensive line he had with the Eagles, he does have enough firepower here to successfully implement his system. Richardson's dual-threat ability will grant Stiechen the freedom to run RPO's, designed runs and play-action passes while also helping him improve as a passer by giving him easy, schemed-up throws that allow him to work on his accuracy and touch without turning the offense into a strictly dink-and-dunk operation, Taylor can be utilized as an every-down back without having to deal with the threat of constant stacked boxes due to Richardson being a major threat on the ground himself and their pass-catching group of Michael Pittman Jr./Alec Pierce/rookie Josh Downs/Isaiah McKenzie/Jelani Woods has enough versatility and skill in it to make plays all over the field. The Eagles group improved from 26th to the 12th in scoring offense and 24th to 14th in total offense after Steichen got to Philly in 2021. That type of improvement is a completely realistic expectation to have for this Colts group-who finished in 30th in scoring and 27th in total yards in 2022-that was in pretty decent shape overall prior to their cartoonishly awful 2022 campaign where everything that could go wrong did.
Bottom Line:
If Shane Steichen and Anthony Richardson can improve the offense and their so-so defense can remain more or less the same, the Colts should be a solid team with the potential to make the playoffs.
Jacksonville Jaguars
2022 Record: 9-8 (1st in AFC South)
Head Coach: Doug Pederson (2nd season)
Notable Additions: K Brandon McManus, T Josh Wells, RB D'Ernest Johnson
Notable Departures: T Jawaan Taylor, CB Shaq Griffin, OLB Arden Key
Biggest Reason for Excitement: They're Suddenly Legit Contenders
Hot off an incredible 7-2 run to end the 2022 season, the outlook is bright and expectations are high in Duval County. And rightfully so, the rebuild timeline is now at least a couple years ahead of schedule after Doug Pederson cleaned up all of the chaos and destruction Urban Meyer's clown ass caused with a frankly shocking degree of speed and proficiency. Trevor Lawrence appears to be on track to blossom into the franchise QB he's long been billed to be, they're adding a potential legit #1 WR in Calvin Ridley-who posted a 90 REC/1,374 YDS/9 TD line during his last full season in 2020- to a receiving corps that was full of pleasant surprises (Christian Kirk, Evan Engram, Zay Jones) last year and their secondary could be on the verge of turning into an elite group after breakout seasons from 2021 draft picks Tyson Campbell and Andre Cisco last year. They might not be on the level of the Chiefs, Bengals or Bills yet, but this Jaguars team deserves to be taken seriously entering 2023 and it wouldn't be at all surprising if they became a top-tier contender this year.
Biggest Reason for Concern: Offensive Line
Offensive line play wasn't a contributing factor to the Jags late season turnaround as the group was comfortably below average yet not quite completely inept all year long. Entering 2023, this group could begin trending towards inept. Jawaan Taylor jumped ship to Kansas City in free agency-which leaves a sizable gap at right tackle as he was their best pass-protector (and ironically, their worst run-blocker) and they received an extra kick in the dick when their left tackle Cam Robinson-who is coming off a torn meniscus-got popped for PED's and earned a 4-game suspension. While Robinson is suspended to start the year, they're expected to roll out Walker Little-who did an alright job filling in for Robinson at the end of 2022, but has only logged 6 total starts in 2 NFL seasons and 1st round pick Anton Harrison at the tackle spot-who put together a solid career at Oklahoma, but might not have the ideal athleticism or strength to hold up as a pro tackle. At the end of the day, Robinson and Taylor weren't all that great as a tackle pairing and it's going to take some pretty sorry play from Little and Harrison to be much of a downgrade.
What feels like the primary problem area of the Jags offensive line is on the interior. This is really the only spot on their roster where their decision to not make any meaningful investments at the position doesn't make sense. Sticking with Brandon Scherff-who had an ugly inaugural season that reinforced why the Commanders had no problem letting him go-is one thing since they paid him a bunch in free agency last year, but why are Ben Bartch and Luke Fortner viewed as entrenched starters? Bartch hasn't shown much of anything positive in 17 starts over 3 NFL seasons and Fortner was a complete liability in the running game while also struggling quite a bit in pass-protection in his terrible rookie campaign in 2022. Not introducing the threat of competition and/or simply adding depth creates a potentially ugly situation where they have zero insurance for lineman with a history of struggling and are basically left to just cross their fingers that they can find somebody on the bottom of the depth chart to serve as a Band-Aid for guys that shouldn't been trusted to play the position in the first place.
There's a very conceivable scenario where this group plays bad enough to cost them their ability to win a Super Bowl, so people are going to have to cross their fingers that Scherff gets his mojo back, Robinson doesn't miss a beat when he returns to the lineup and OL coach Phil Rauscher can work some magic with the rest of these guys to prevent crippling disaster from happening.
Key to Reaching Their Ceiling: Trevor Lawrence Keeping Up the Level of Play He Displayed Down the Stretch
Most of the shining moments of Trevor Lawrence's sophomore campaign came during the playoff-clinching stretch from Week 12-18 where he led the Jaguars to 6-1 record. During this frame, Lawrence threw for 1,779 YDS, 12 TD's and only 2 INT's (his full regular season line was 4,113 YDS/25 TD's/8 INT's). This was the first time in his career that he looked like a franchise QB over a prolonged period of time. He commanded the huddle with poise, he consistently made the right throws and decisions regardless of how much pressure he was facing and he came up big whenever his team needed him. This is the exact player that Jaguars were expected to get when they drafted him #1 overall and with that version of Lawrence at the helm, the sky is the limit.
There was a bit of regression on that front in the playoffs as he put together a couple of stinky performances (he was solid in the 2nd half of the Chargers game in the Wild Card Round, but that comeback was more on the horrendous play of the Chargers than anything positive Lawrence did), but he deserves some slack as it was his first time on that stage in the pros and his teammates had their share of struggle as well. Having another year in Pederson's system, further acclimating to the pro game and picking up another weapon in Ridley should provide Lawrence with a great chance to take another sizable step forward in year #3.
Bottom Line:
They were trending in a very positive direction at the end of last season and there's no reason to believe right now that they won't be able to build off that momentum in 2023.
Tennessee Titans
2022 Record: 7-10 (2nd in AFC South)
Head Coach: Mike Vrabel (6th season)
Notable Additions: WR DeAndre Hopkins, T Andre Dillard, OLB Arden Key
Notable Departures: T Taylor Lewan, C Ben Jones, WR Robert Woods
Biggest Reason for Excitement: DeAndre Hopkins Deciding to Sign With Them
Going into training camp, the Titans offense was playing with fire. After receiving approximately 90,000 touches over the past 5 seasons and his 30th birthday quickly approaching, Derrick Henry can not be relied upon to make it through the season healthy and carry the offense on his boulder-esque shoulders yet again, despite some flashes as a rookie last season, Treylon Burks hasn't done enough to prove he's a #1 receiver (and surprise surprise, he sustained an LCL sprain at practice yesterday and is expected to be sidelined for at least a few weeks) and the state of their receiver depth chart is so dire (Kyle Phillips, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Chris Moore, Racey McMath) that 2nd year tight end Chigoziem Okonkwo has become a fantasy football sleeper darling simply because somebody needs to catch passes and his play as a rookie was downright dominant compared to the WR's listed in the parentheses above. A miracle arrived on July 24th when DeAndre Hopkins opted to sign with them over the Patriots. Boy are they lucky that Hopkins only cares about targets and money over playing for a contender because who the hell knows what this passing attack would look like without him.
Much has been made out of how Hopkins looked after he returned from his PED suspension last season, but I really don't think he played all that bad all things considered as he nabbed 66 passes for 717 YDS and 3 TD's in 9 games. The Cardinals offense just wasn't as explosive as they were in 2021 and that only become worse after Kyler Murray tore his ACL in mid-December and the husk of Colt McCoy was throwing 5-8-yard bloopers for the last handful of games of the season.
Teaming up with Ryan Tannehill (for now at least) isn't likely to lead the kind of resurgence where's he putting up numbers that are comparable to any of his 5 All-Pro seasons. However, the high target share paired with a desire to earn some of the respect in the league that he's lost over the last couple years back should be enough for him to clear 1,000 YDS and 5+ TD's. For a team that really missed A.J. Brown's contributions last season after they traded him away for reasons that remain unclear, those kinds of numbers would be a borderline godsend that makes their passing attack-which ranked 30th in the league a year ago-significantly more potent.
Biggest Reason for Concern: Offensive Line
Calling the offensive line a point of concern might actually be an understatement. This could prove to be a full-blown, season-wrecking crisis if the Titans plan at the position goes sideways. Some change was inevitable and necessary for this group as they ranked as the worst offensive line in football a year ago. They severed ties with longtime left tackle Taylor Lewan and center Ben Jones due to a combination of injuries, age and the amount of money they were getting (both of them are still free agents), tackle Dennis Daley wasn't re-signed due to him finishing tied for the league in sacks allowed with 12 and right guard Nate Davis-who was a bright spot for them-opted to sign with the Bears over returning to Nashville in free agency. With so much changeover happening, the group has to be in a better spot right? That isn't exactly a guarantee.
Well before a single snap was played, this new Titans OL was handed its first blow when starting right tackle Nicholas Petit-Frere got suspended for gambling. Fortunately, it's only a 6-game ban since he was only disciplined for placing non-NFL bets at the team facility. Still, it's not a great situation to start the year without your starting right tackle because he couldn't wait until he got home to place a bet. Chris Hubbard is expected to start in Petit-Frere's place, which is something that should scare the hell out of Tannehill based on how bad he was during the end of his stint with the Browns.
The next strike against this group was replacing Lewan and Daley at left tackle with Andre Dillard. Dillard was famously expected to be the heir apparent to Jason Peters at left tackle with the Eagles when they selected him in the 1st round of the 2019 draft, but through bad injury luck, getting outshined at practice and suspect performances when he did play, he lost that opportunity to Jordan Mailata once Peters left the team following the 2020 season. As a result, Dillard was relegated to a backup role for most of his 4 seasons there, logging just 9 starts (only 5 of them came after his rookie season in 2019) in the 43 games he dressed for. Expecting a guy with limited game action over 4 NFL seasons and a relatively concerning injury history to be a starting left tackle is recklessly optimistic at best and downright reckless at worst.
Comparatively speaking, the interior line situation is rosy, but it's still not great. Aaron Brewer is shifting over to center after starting at left guard last year-which really isn't a good or a bad thing since he was a nondescript below average player and that was his 1st season as a full-time starter, Daniel Brunskill has a real mean streak that has produced some nasty highlight reel blocks, but was otherwise just so-so with the 49ers over the past couple years and rookie guard Peter Skoronski might prove himself to be the star of the line early on as he brings an impressive college pedigree and well-rounded technical game with him to the NFL, but if even he does flourish, that alone won't be enough to help this group avoid the dregs of the league.
New OL coach Jason Houghtaling-who was promoted from assistant OL coach after they shitcanned Keith Carter- is going to have to work his cut for him to mold this group into something respectable, let alone good.
Key to Reaching Their Ceiling: Mike Vrabel Working Some Magic
A mere 2 years ago, Vrabel was able to lead a Titans team that battled near-constant injury and COVID issues to a 12-5 record-which was good enough to give the Titans the top seed in the AFC. He's going to need to do a similarly incredible job to get this Titans group back to that place.
While injuries certainly played a factor, the 7-game losing streak the Titans closed the 2022 season on raised some serious questions about their standing in the league. Outside of their terrific front 7 and the running game when Derrick Henry is healthy, they are honestly god awful in every other area. The only move they made to change their bottom-ranked pass defense from a year ago was signing the respectable Sean Murphy-Bunting to play outside corner after only playing in the slot while with the Bucs, Tannehill took a huge step back in 2022 and it's not clear if they're planning on sticking with him all year or they're going to unleash the deeply polarizing rookie Will Levis on the world at some point and I spent the entirety of the previous two sections going over their potential problems at receiver and along the offensive line. These are deficiencies that are going to take some serious coaching magic to overcome. Is Vrabel capable of doing it? Of course. He's elevated this team for the majority of his tenure and is one of the best tacticians in the league. At the same time, he's never had a roster with this many flaws before and coaching can only go so far to counteract a lack of talent at key positions.
Bottom Line:
Every team in the AFC South is trending in a positive direction except for them and their roster is arguably an even bigger mess than it was a year ago. Short of some shocking massive improvements to their problem areas, it's going to take a healthy Derrick Henry, DeAndre Hopkins and their front 7 playing their ass off and some good fortune for them to be competitive.
Predicted Standings:
1.Jackosoville Jaguars (11-6)
2.Indianapolis Colts (9-8)
3.Tennessee Titans (6-11)
4.Houston Texans (5-12)
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