Monday, January 22, 2024

Oscar Nomination Predictions

Sometime shortly after 8:00 AM EST tomorrow morning, the 2023 film awards cycle will take another giant step towards its apex when the Oscar nominations are announced in Los Angeles by Zazie Beetz and Jack Quaid. Here are the names and films I expect to be competing for Hollywood's top prizes this year.

Best Picture:

American Fiction

Barbie

The Holdovers

Killers of the Flower Moon

Maestro

Oppenheimer

Past Lives

Poor Things

Saltburn

The Zone of Interest 

Locks: Barbie, The Holdovers, Killers of the Flower Moon, Oppenheimer, Poor Things

Toss-Ups: American Fiction, Maestro, Past Lives, Saltburn, The Zone of Interest

Other Viable Contenders for a Nomination: All of Us Strangers, Anatomy of a Fall, The Color Purple, May December, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Best Director:

Greta Gerwig, Barbie

Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things

Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer 

Alexander Payne, The Holdovers

Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon

Locks: Yorgos Lanthimos, Christopher Nolan, Martin Scorsese 

Toss-Ups: Greta Gerwig, Alexander Payne

Other Viable Contenders for a Nomination: Bradley Cooper (Maestro), Jonathan Glazer (The Zone of Interest), Cord Jefferson (American Fiction), Celine Song (Past Lives), Justine Triet (Anatomy of a Fall

Best Actor:

Bradley Cooper, Maestro

Colman Domingo, Rustin

Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers

Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer 

Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction

Locks: Bradley Cooper, Paul Giamatti, Cillian Murphy

Toss-Ups: Colman Domingo, Jeffrey Wright

Other Viable Contenders for a Nomination: Leonardo DiCaprio (Killers of the Flower Moon), Zac Efron (The Iron Claw), Barry Keoghan (Saltburn), Andrew Scott (All of Us Strangers), Teo Yoo (Past Lives)

Best Actress:

Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon

Sandra Hueller, Anatomy of a Fall

Carey Mulligan, Maestro

Margot Robbie, Barbie

Emma Stone, Poor Things

Locks: Lily Gladstone, Carey Mulligan, Emma Stone

Toss-Ups: Sandra Hueller, Margot Robbie

Other Viable Contenders for a Nomination: Fantasia Barrino (The Color Purple), Annette Bening (Nyad), Greta Lee (Past Lives), Natalie Portman (May December), Anjanue Ellis-Taylor (Origin

Best Supporting Actor:

Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction

Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon

Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer 

Ryan Gosling, Barbie

Dominic Sessa, The Holdovers

Locks: Robert De Niro, Robert Downey Jr., Ryan Gosling

Toss-Ups: Sterling K. Brown, Dominic Sessa

Other Viable Contenders for a Nomination: Willem Dafoe (Poor Things), Jacob Elordi (Saltburn), Paul Mescal (All of Us Strangers), Charles Melton (May December), Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things)

Best Supporting Actress:

Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer

Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple 

Penelope Cruz, Ferrari 

Jodie Foster, Nyad

Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Locks: Emily Blunt, Da'Vine Joy Randolph

Toss-Ups: Danielle Brooks, Penelope Cruz, Jodie Foster

Other Viable Contenders for a Nomination: America Ferrera (Barbie), Claire Foy (All of Us Strangers), Sandra Hueller (The Zone of Interest), Julianne Moore (May December), Rosamund Pike (Saltburn)

Best Original Screenplay:

Anatomy of a Fall

The Holdovers

Past Lives

May December

Saltburn

Locks: Anatomy of a Fall, The Holdovers, Past Lives

Toss-Ups: May December, Saltburn

Other Viable Contenders for a Nomination: Air, Asteroid City, The Boy and the Heron, The Iron Claw, Maestro

Best Adapted Screenplay:

American Fiction

Barbie

Killers of the Flower Moon

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

Locks: American Fiction, Barbie, Oppenheimer, Poor Things

Toss-Up: Killers of the Flower Moon

Other Viable Contenders for a Nomination: All of Us Strangers, Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret, The Color Purple, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse, The Zone of Interest

Best Cinematography:

Killers of the Flower Moon

Maestro

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

The Zone of Interest

Locks: Killers of the Flower Moon, Oppenheimer, Poor Things

Toss-Ups: Maestro, The Zone of Interest

Other Viable Contenders for a Nomination: Barbie, The Color Purple, El Conde, Napoleon, Saltburn

Best Film Editing:

Barbie

The Holdovers

Killers of the Flower Moon

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

Locks: Killers of the Flower Moon, Oppenheimer

Toss-Ups: Barbie, The Holdovers, Poor Things

Other Viable Contenders for a Nomination: Anatomy of a Fall, Ferrari, The Killer, Maestro, The Zone of Interest 

Best Animated Feature:

The Boy and the Heron

Elemental

Nimona

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem

Best Documentary Feature:

20 Days in Mariupol 

American Symphony 

Beyond Utopia

Four Daughters

Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie

Best International Feature:

20 Days in Mariupol

Society of the Snow

The Taste of Things

The Teacher's Lounge

The Zone of Interest 

Best Costume Design:

Barbie

The Color Purple

Killers of the Flower Moon

Napoleon

Poor Things

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:

Golda

Maestro

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

Society of the Snow 

Best Production Design:

Barbie

Killers of the Flower Moon

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

The Zone of Interest

Best Score:

Killers of the Flower Moon

Oppenheimer

Poor Things

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 

The Zone of Interest 

Best Original Song:

"The Fire Inside", Flamin' Hot

"I'm Just Ken", Barbie

"It Never Went Away", American Symphony 

"Road to Freedom", Rustin

"What Was I Made For?, Barbie 

Best Sound:

Ferrari

Maestro

Napoleon

Oppenheimer 

The Zone of Interest

Best Visual Effects:

The Creator

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol.3

Poor Things

Society of the Snow

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 

Best Animated Short:

Letter to a Pig

Ninety-Five Senses 

Once Upon a Studio

Pete

WAR IS OVER! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko

Best Documentary Short:

The ABCs of Book Banning

The Barber of Little Rock

Deciding Vote

The Last Repair Shop

Last Song from Kabul

Best Live Action Short:

The After

The Anne Frank Gift Shop

The Shepard 

Strange Way of Life

The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

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