Wednesday, January 22, 2025

Oscar Nomination Predictions

After a couple of delays on account of the wildfires currently devastating Los Angeles, the nominations for this year's Oscars will be announced tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM EST by Rachel Sennott and Bowen Yang. Here are the people and films I expect to be competing for the most prestigious awards in American cinema.   

Best Picture:

Anora

The Brutalist

A Complete Unknown

Conclave

Dune: Part Two

Emilia Perez

A Real Pain

Sing Sing

The Substance

Wicked

Locks: Anora, The Brutalist, A Complete Unknown, Conclave, Emilia Perez, The Substance, Wicked

Toss-Ups: Dune: Part Two, A Real Pain, Sing Sing

Other Possible Contenders: All We Imagine as LightI'm Still HereNickel Boys, The Seed of the Sacred Fig, September 5

Best Director:

Jacques Audiard, Emilia Perez

Sean Baker, Anora

Edward Berger, Conclave

Brady Corbet, The Brutalist

Coralie Fargeat, The Substance

Locks: Jacques Audiard, Sean Baker, Edward Berger, Brady Corbet

Toss-Up: Coralie Fargeat

Other Possible Contenders: Jon M. Chu (Wicked), James Mangold (A Complete Unknown), Mohammad Rasoulouf (The Seed of the Sacred Fig), RaMell Ross (Nickel Boys), Denis Villeneuve (Dune: Part Two)

Best Actor:

Adrien Brody, The Brutalist

Timothee Chalamet, A Complete Unknown

Daniel Craig, Queer

Colman Domingo, Sing Sing

Ralph Fiennes, Conclave  

Locks: Adrien Brody, Timothee Chalamet, Ralph Fiennes

Toss-Ups: Daniel Craig, Colman Domingo

Other Possible Contenders: Jesse Eisenberg (A Real Pain), Hugh Grant (Heretic), Glen Powell (Hit Man), Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice), Sebastian Stan (A Different Man)

Best Actress:

Cynthia Erivo, Wicked

Karla Sofia Gascon, Emilia Perez

Mikey Madison, Anora

Demi Moore, The Substance

Fernanda Torres, I'm Still Here 

Locks: Karla Sofia Gascon, Mikey Madison, Demi Moore

Toss-Ups: Cynthia Erivo, Fernanda Torres

Other Possible Contenders: Pamela Anderson (The Last Showgirl), Marianne Jean-Baptiste (Hard Truths), Angelina Jolie (Maria), Nicole Kidman (Babygirl), Saoirse Ronan (The Outrun)

Best Supporting Actor:

Yura Borisov, Anora

Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain

Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown

Guy Pearce, The Brutalist 

Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice

Locks: Yura Borisov, Kieran Culkin

Toss-Ups: Edward Norton, Guy Pearce, Jeremy Strong

Other Possible Contenders: Jonathan Bailey (Wicked), Mark Eydelshteyn (Anora), Clarence Maclin (Sing Sing), Stanley Tucci (Conclave), Denzel Washington (Gladiator II)

Best Supporting Actress:

Monica Barbaro, A Complete Unknown

Jamie Lee Curtis, The Last Showgirl

Ariana Grande, Wicked

Isabella Rossellini, Conclave

Zoe Saldana, Emilia Perez

Locks: Ariana Grande, Zoe Saldana

Toss-Ups: Monica Barbaro, Jamie Lee Curtis, Isabella Rossellini

Other Possible Contenders: Danielle Deadwyler (The Piano Lesson), Elle Fanning (A Complete Unknown), Selena Gomez (Emilia Perez), Felicity Jones (The Brutalist), Margaret Qualley (The Substance

Best Original Screenplay:

Anora

The Brutalist

A Real Pain

September 5

The Substance

Locks: Anora, The Brutalist, A Real Pain, The Substance

Toss-Up: September 5

Other Possible Contenders: All We Imagine as LightChallengers, Hard Truths, Juror #2, The Seed of the Sacred Fig

Best Adapted Screenplay:

A Complete Unknown

Conclave

Emilia Perez

Nickel Boys

Sing Sing

Locks: A Complete Unknown, Conclave, Emilia Perez

Toss-Ups: Nickel Boys, Sing Sing

Other Possible Contenders: Dune: Part Two, Hit Man, I'm Still Here, Nosferatu, Wicked

Best Animated Feature:

Flow

Inside Out 2

Memoir of a Snail

Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl 

The Wild Robot

Locks: Flow, Inside Out 2, Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl, The Wild Robot

Toss-Up: Memoir of a Snail

Other Possible Contenders: Chicken for Linda, Moana 2, Transformers One 

Best Documentary Feature:

Black Box Diaries

Daughters

No Other Land

Soundtrack to a Coup D'Etat

Sugarcane 

Locks: No Other Land, Sugarcane

Toss-Ups: Black Box Diaries, Daughters, Soundtrack to a Coup D'Etat

Other Possible Contenders: The Bibi Files, Dahomey, Porcelain War, The Remarkable Life of Ibelin, Will & Harper

Best International Feature:

Emilia Perez

I'm Still Here

Kneecap

The Seed of the Sacred Fig

Vermiglio 

Locks: Emilia Perez, I'm Still Here

Toss-Ups: Kneecap, The Seed of the Sacred Fig, Vermiglio 

Other Possible Contenders: Flow, From Ground Zero, The Girl with the Needle, How to Make Millions Before Grandma Dies, Universal Language 

Best Cinematography:

The Brutalist

Conclave

Dune: Part Two

Nickel Boys

Nosferatu

Locks: The Brutalist, Conclave, Dune: Part Two

Toss-Ups: Nickel Boys, Nosferatu

Other Possible Contenders: A Complete Unknown, Emilia Perez, The Girl with the Needle, Maria, Wicked

Best Film Editing:

Anora

The Brutalist

Conclave

Dune: Part Two

Emilia Perez

Locks: Anora, Conclave, Dune: Part Two, Emilia Perez

Toss-Up: The Brutalist

Other Possible Contenders: A Complete Unknown, Challengers, September 5, The Substance, Wicked

Best Original Score:

The Brutalist

Challengers

Conclave

Emilia Perez

The Wild Robot

Locks: The Brutalist, Conclave, Emilia Perez

Toss-Ups: Challengers, The Wild Robot

Other Possible Contenders: Blitz, Gladiator II, Nosferatu, The Room Next Door, Wicked

Best Original Song:

"El Mal", Emilia Perez

"The Journey", The Six Triple Eight

"Kiss the Sky", The Wild Robot

 "Mi Camino", Emilia Perez

"Never Too Late", Elton John: Never Too Late

Locks: "El Mal", "Kiss the Sky", "Mi Camino"

Toss-Ups: "The Journey", "Never Too Late"

Other Possible Contenders: "Beyond" (Moana 2), "Compress/Repress" (Challengers), "Harper and Will Go West" (Will & Harper), "Like a Bird (Sing Sing), "Sick in the Head" (Kneecap)

Best Costume Design:

Conclave

Dune: Part Two

Gladiator II 

Nosferatu

Wicked 

Locks: Dune: Part Two, Nosferatu, Wicked

Toss-Ups: Conclave, Gladiator II

Other Possible Contenders: Beetlejuice Beetlejuice, Blitz, The Brutalist, A Complete Unkown, Maria

Best Makeup & Hairstyling:

Beetlejuice Beetlejuice 

A Different Man

Nosferatu

The Substance 

Wicked

Locks:  Nosferatu, The Substance, Wicked

Toss-Ups: Beetlejuice Beetlejuice, A Different Man

Other Possible Contenders: Dune: Part Two, Emilia Perez, Waltzing with Brando 

Best Production Design:

The Brutalist

Conclave

Dune: Part Two

Nosferatu

Wicked

Locks: The Brutalist, Dune: Part Two, Wicked

Toss-Ups: Conclave, Nosferatu

Other Possible Contenders: Beetlejuice Beetlejuice, Blitz, A Complete Unknown, Gladiator II, The Substance

Best Sound:

A Complete Unknown

Dune: Part Two

Emilia Perez

Gladiator II

Wicked

Best Visual Effects:

Better Man

Dune: Part Two

Gladiator II 

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes

Wicked

Best Animated Short:

A Bear Named Wojtek 

A Crab in the Pool

Me

Yuck!

Wander to Wonder 

Best Documentary Short:

Chasing Roo

Incident 

Makayla's Voice: A Letter to the World 

Once Upon a Time in Ukraine 

A Swim Lesson

Best Live Action Short:

Anjua 

An Orange from Jaffa 

Dovecote

The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent

The Masterpiece 

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