Sunday, March 14, 2021

93rd Academy Award Nomination Predictions

The beginning of the end of this most unusual movie awards season begins tomorrow morning when the Academy Award Nominations are announced. Here are the films and individuals I expect to be vying for Oscars this year.

Best Picture:

The Father

Judas and the Black Messiah

Mank

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Minari 

Nomadland

One Night in Miami...

Promising Young Woman

The Trial of the Chicago 7

Locks: Mank, Minari, Nomadland, The Trial of the Chicago 7

Toss-Ups: The Father, Judas and the Black Messiah, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom, One Night in Miami.., Promising Young Woman

Other Possible Contenders: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm, Da 5 Bloods, The Mauritanian, News of the World, Soul, Sound of Metal

Best Director:

Lee Isaac Chung (Minari)

David Fincher (Mank)

Regina King (One Night in Miami...)

Aaron Sorkin (The Trial of the Chicago 7)

Chloe Zhao (Nomadland)

Locks: David Fincher, Aaron Sorkin, Chloe Zhao

Toss-Ups: Lee Isaac Chung, Regina King

Other Possible Contenders: Emerald Fennell (Promising Young Woman), Spike Lee (Da 5 Bloods), Shaka King (Judas and the Black Messiah), George C. Wolfe (Ma Rainey's Bottom), Florian Zeller (The Father)

Best Actor:

Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal)

Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom)

Anthony Hopkins (The Father)

Gary Oldman (Mank)

Steven Yeun (Minari)

Locks: Riz Ahmed, Chadwick Boseman, Anthony Hopkins

Toss-Ups: Gary Oldman, Steven Yeun

Other Possible Contenders: Tom Hanks (News of the World), Delroy Lindo (Da 5 Bloods), Madds Mikkelsen (Another Round), Tahir Rahim (The Mauritanian)

Best Actress:

Viola Davis (Ma Rainey's Black Bottom)

Andra Day (The United States vs. Billie Holliday)

Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman)

Frances McDormand (Nomadland)

Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman) 

Locks: Viola Davis, Frances McDormand, Carey Mulligan

Toss-Ups: Andra Day, Vanessa Kirby

Other Possible Contenders: Amy Adams (Hillbilly Elegy), Sophia Loren (The Life Ahead), Rosamund Pike (I Care a Lot), Zendaya (Malcolm & Marie)

Best Supporting Actor:

Chadwick Boseman (Da 5 Bloods)

Sacha Baron Cohen (The Trial of the Chicago 7)

Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah)

Leslie Odom Jr. (One Night in Miami...)

Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)

Locks: Sacha Baron Cohen, Daniel Kaluuya, Leslie Odom Jr.

Toss-Ups: Chadwick Boseman, Paul Raci

Other Possible Contenders: Alan Kim (Minari), Jared Leto (The Little Things), Bill Murray (On the Rocks), Mark Rylance (The Trial of the Chicago 7

Best Supporting Actress:

Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)

Olivia Colman (The Father)

Jodie Foster (The Mauritanian)

Amanda Seyfried (Mank) 

Yuh-Jung Youn (Minari)

Locks: Maria Bakalova, Olivia Colman, Amanda Seyfried

Toss-Ups: Jodie Foster, Yuh-Jung Youn 

Other Possible Contenders: Ellen Burstyn (Pieces of a Woman), Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy), Dominique Fishback (Judas and the Black Messiah) Helena Zengel (News of the World)

Best Original Screenplay:

Judas and the Black Messiah

Mank

Minari

Promising Young Woman

The Trial of the Chicago 7

Best Adapted Screenplay:

The Father

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

News of the World

Nomadland

One Night in Miami...

Best Cinematography:

Judas and the Black Messiah

Mank

News of the World

Nomadland

Tenet

Best Animated Feature:

The Croods: A New Age

Onward

Over the Moon

Soul

Wolfwalkers

Best Documentary Feature:

Boys State

Collective

Dick Johnson is Dead

Time

Welcome to Chechnya

Best International Feature:

Another Round

La Llorona

Night of the Kings

Quo Vadis, Aida?

Two of Us

Best Film Editing:

The Father

Mank

Nomadland

Sound of Metal

The Trial of the Chicago 7 

Best Costume Design:

Emma

Mank

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Mulan

News of the World

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:

Birds of Prey

Emma

Hillbilly Elegy

Mank

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Best Production Design:

Mank

Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

News of the World

Mulan

Tenet

Best Score:

Mank

Minari

News of the World

Soul

Tenet

Best Song:

"Fight for You" (Judas and the Black Messiah)

"Hear My Voice" (The Trial of the Chicago 7)

"Io Si (The Life Ahead)" (The Life Ahead)

"Speak Now" (One Night in Miami...)

"Turntables" (All In: The Fight for Democracy) 

Best Sound:

Mank

News of the World

Sound of Metal

Soul

Tenet

Best Visual Effects:

Love and Monsters

The Midnight Sky

Mulan

The One and Only Ivan

Tenet

Best Animated Short:

Burrow

If Anything Happens I Love You

Opera

Out

The Snail and the Whale

Best Documentary Short:

Abortion Hotline, This is Lisa

Collette 

Do Not Split 

Hunger Ward

A Love Song for Latasha

Best Live Action Short:

Da Yie

The Human Voice

The Letter Room 

The Present 

Two Distant Strangers 

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